8-K ·Filed Jul 23, 2026

TSCO

TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000916365-26-000052
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The significant guidance reduction and withdrawal of the long-term framework are major negative signals. Traders should expect downward analyst revisions and potential multiple compression. Monitor the Q4 2026 earnings for the new long-term framework and any signs of stabilization in comparable store sales.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
TSCO ▲ +15.60% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -15.60% · α vs SPY -12.29% · entry $30.32 → $35.05
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+47 -26.57% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 22, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.31%
call -2.31% · α -2.21%
$31.02
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.36%
call +0.36% · α +0.84%
$30.21
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+15.60%
call -15.60% · α -12.29%
$35.05
settled 6w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tractor Supply reported Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.81, a slight miss vs. the $0.82 consensus, on revenue of $4.54B that also missed estimates of $4.58B. Comparable store sales declined 1.5%, and the company significantly lowered its full-year 2026 guidance, including withdrawing its long-term financial framework from December 2024, signaling a material deterioration in the business outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.81
est $0.82 · -1.2%
Revenue
$4.5B
est $4.6B · -0.8% · +2.3% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
+2.5% to +3.5%
lowered
Gross Margin
37.05%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.81 missed consensus of $0.82.
  • Q2 2026 net sales of $4.54B missed consensus of $4.58B.
  • Comparable store sales decreased 1.5% vs. a 1.5% increase in the prior year.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance was lowered: EPS now $1.78-$1.88 (from $2.13-$2.23), net sales growth +2.5% to +3.5% (from +4% to +6%).
  • The company withdrew its long-term financial framework introduced at the December 2024 Investor Day.
  • Recorded $75.3M in impairment and acquisition costs related to Petsense restructuring and VIP Petcare acquisition.
  • Operating income decreased 19.2% to $467.1M; GAAP net income fell 16.1% to $360.7M.

Financial Impact

Full-year EPS guidance cut by ~$0.35 at the midpoint, from $2.18 to $1.83; net sales growth outlook halved.

revenueepscomparable store salesoperating margin

Risk Factors

  • Further deterioration in comparable store sales, especially in the companion animal and seasonal categories.
  • Execution risk on the Petsense restructuring and VIP Petcare integration.
  • Potential for additional impairment charges if the retail environment weakens further.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (37 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000916365-26-000052
Document: tsco-20260723.htm0000916365-26-000052
Document: 0000916365-26-000052-index-headers.html0000916365-26-000052
Document: 0000916365-26-000052-index.html0000916365-26-000052
Document: 0000916365-26-000052.txt0000916365-26-000052
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000916365-26-000052
16 reports for TSCO
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +21.63%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$34.70 $31.44▲ +9.39%▲ +8.89%$31.41 (+9.50%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.44 $33.03▼ −6.80%▼ −5.28%$31.41 (−11.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.68 $33.83▼ −2.45%▼ −0.93%$31.41 (−9.44%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.09 $34.60▲ +1.50%▲ +0.90%$31.41 (−7.88%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.32 $35.05▼ −15.60%▼ −12.29%$31.41 (−3.58%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.76 $30.21▼ −4.88%▼ −4.47%$31.41 (−1.12%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.37 $31.21▼ −0.51%▲ +2.63%$31.41 (+0.11%)
Showing 10 of 16

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