PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss is a clear negative signal, but the in-line revenue and lack of guidance revision limit downside. Traders should watch for the Q3 FY2026 earnings release on August 18 for any change in demand or margin trends. The stock may see modest selling pressure in the short term, but the miss is not severe enough to warrant a large move.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
TOL ▼ -3.27% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.27% · α vs SPY +7.23% · entry $150.03 → $145.13
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -2.65% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.82%
call +2.82% · α +3.48%
$145.80
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.42%
call -0.42% · α +3.21%
$150.65
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-3.27%
call +3.27% · α +7.23%
$145.13
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Toll Brothers reported Q2 2026 EPS of $2.72, a 7.0% miss versus the $2.93 consensus, with revenue of $2.62B in line with estimates. The miss, combined with a neutral outlook and no guidance change, suggests a modest negative reaction for the homebuilder stock in the near term. Historical calibration data indicates that high-impact bullish scores on TOL have underperformed, supporting a more conservative bearish stance here.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.72
est $2.93 · -7.2%
Revenue
$2.6B
est $2.6B · 0.0%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • EPS of $2.72 missed consensus of $2.93 by 7.0%
  • Revenue of $2.62B was in line with estimates
  • No guidance change or raised outlook was announced
  • The company will report Q3 FY2026 results on August 18, 2026

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.21 per share, or 7.0% below consensus

eps

Risk Factors

  • Housing demand could soften further if mortgage rates rise
  • Input cost inflation may pressure margins in coming quarters

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Operative Builders
Analyst Consensus
70% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3335627
6 reports for TOL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TOL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$148.58 $134.32▲ +9.60%▲ +7.65%$136.29 (+8.27%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$150.03 $145.13▲ +3.27%▲ +7.23%$136.29 (+9.15%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$136.29 $149.66▲ +9.81%▲ +9.85%$136.29 (+0.00%)
May 13, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$131.46 $147.10▲ +11.89%▲ +12.75%$136.29 (+3.68%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$147.94 $124.14▼ −16.09%▼ −19.25%$136.29 (−7.87%)
Mar 11, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$137.95 $140.01▲ +1.49%▼ −0.48%$136.29 (−1.20%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 48m

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Report published Jul 29, 2026