8-K ·Filed May 19, 2026

TOL

Toll Brothers, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed4mo ago SEC0000794170-26-000083
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The beat and raised guidance provide near-term support, but YoY declines in revenue and margins signal headwinds. Watch housing market data and management commentary on the earnings call for demand outlook. The raised guidance may temper bearish sentiment, but core fundamentals remain under pressure.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TOL ▲ +8.39% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +8.39% · α vs SPY +3.65% · entry $136.29 → $147.72
Entry anchored
May 19, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.86%
call -1.86% · α -2.05%
$133.76
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.26%
call +1.26% · α -0.54%
$138.01
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+9.81%
call +9.81% · α +9.85%
$149.66
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+8.39%
call +8.39% · α +3.65%
$147.72
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Toll Brothers reported Q2 FY2026 EPS of $2.72, beating consensus of $2.58 by 5.4%, and home sales revenue of $2.51B, above expectations, while raising full-year guidance. However, both revenue and EPS declined YoY (-7.4% and -22.3% respectively), creating a mixed picture of operational strength against a challenging housing market.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.72
est $2.58 · +5.4%
Revenue
$2.5B
-7.4% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
Not explicitly given; guidance is on deliveries, price, margins, etc.
raised
Gross Margin
23.9%

Key Facts

  • EPS $2.72 vs consensus $2.58 (beat 5.4%)
  • Home sales revenue $2.51B vs consensus $2.42B (beat 3.7%)
  • YoY revenue down 7.4%, EPS down 22.3%
  • Raised full-year guidance across all key metrics
  • Repurchased $175M of stock in Q2, dividend increased 4%
  • Home sales gross margin 23.9% vs 26.0% last year; adjusted 26.2% vs 27.5%

Financial Impact

EPS beat by $0.14, revenue beat by ~$90M, but YoY declines outweigh beat; guidance raise suggests confidence

earningsrevenuemarginsguidance

Risk Factors

  • Rising mortgage rates and inflation dampening demand
  • Further margin compression from impairments and higher costs
  • Continued YoY revenue declines if housing slowdown persists

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Operative Builders
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000794170-26-000083
Document: tol-20260519.htm0000794170-26-000083
Document: 0000794170-26-000083-index-headers.html0000794170-26-000083
Document: 0000794170-26-000083-index.html0000794170-26-000083
Document: 0000794170-26-000083.txt0000794170-26-000083
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000794170-26-000083
6 reports for TOL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +9.60%Aug 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$148.58 $134.32▲ +9.60%▲ +7.65%$136.29 (+8.27%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$150.03 $145.13▲ +3.27%▲ +7.23%$136.29 (+9.15%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$136.29 $149.66▲ +9.81%▲ +9.85%$136.29 (+0.00%)
May 13, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$131.46 $147.10▲ +11.89%▲ +12.75%$136.29 (+3.68%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$147.94 $124.14▼ −16.09%▼ −19.25%$136.29 (−7.87%)
Mar 11, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$137.95 $140.01▲ +1.49%▼ −0.48%$136.29 (−1.20%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 49m

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