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8-K ·Filed Oct 28, 2026

THG

HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3d 22h ago SEC0000944695-26-000019
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The significant beat on operating EPS versus consensus, combined with strong underlying underwriting improvement (current accident year combined ratio excluding catastrophes down 2.3 points to 86.6%) and double-digit investment income growth, signals continued earnings momentum. Watch for further updates on catastrophe loss trends and renewal pricing, which remain key drivers of underwriting profitability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled: T+1d
THG ▲ +2.96% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.96% · α vs SPY +4.74% · entry $235.12 → $242.09
Next anchor: T+5d in 3d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.96%
call +2.96% · α +4.74%
$242.09
settled 3d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 3d
T+20d
Pending
in 24d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Hanover Insurance Group reported Q3 2026 operating income of $5.15 per diluted share, above the consensus estimate of $4.63, driven by strong underwriting results and a 12.7% increase in net investment income. The combined ratio of 92.3% was slightly above the prior year's 91.1%, primarily due to higher catastrophe losses of $109.7 million (6.8 points) versus $46.2 million (3.0 points) in Q3 2025, but the current accident year combined ratio excluding catastrophes improved to 86.6% from 88.9%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS (Adj.)
$5.15
est $4.63 · +11.2% · GAAP: $4.86
Revenue
$1.7B
est $1.8B · -3.6% · +4.2% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Operating income of $183.1 million, or $5.15 per diluted share, versus consensus of $4.63 per share
  • Net income of $172.6 million, or $4.86 per diluted share, versus $178.7 million, or $4.90 per share, in the prior-year quarter
  • Combined ratio of 92.3% versus 91.1% in the prior-year quarter; combined ratio excluding catastrophes improved to 85.5% from 88.1%
  • Current accident year combined ratio excluding catastrophes improved to 86.6% from 88.9%
  • Net premiums written increased 3.1% to $1,792.5 million
  • Net investment income increased 12.7% to $131.9 million, driven by higher earned yields and increased partnership income
  • Book value per share of $99.69, down 5.4% from June 30, 2026, due to higher unrealized losses on fixed maturity portfolio; book value per share excluding net unrealized depreciation increased 2.7% to $114.26
  • Company repurchased approximately $86 million of stock in Q3 2026 and $263 million year-to-date through October 26, 2026
  • Core Commercial combined ratio of 100.5% versus 97.3%, driven by higher catastrophe losses of 7.8 points versus 3.2 points
  • Specialty combined ratio improved to 84.0% from 84.9%, with favorable prior-year reserve development of 4.0 points
  • Personal Lines combined ratio of 89.7% versus 89.2%, with current accident year combined ratio excluding catastrophes improving to 81.9% from 85.8%

Financial Impact

Operating EPS of $5.15 exceeded consensus of $4.63 by approximately 11.2%. Net investment income rose 12.7% to $131.9 million. Share repurchases totaled $86 million in the quarter.

operating income per sharenet investment incomecombined ratiobook value per share

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Core Commercial$582.2M+5.1%
Specialty$369.5M+4.4%
Personal Lines$659.8M+2.7%

Risk Factors

  • Higher catastrophe losses in Q3 2026 ($109.7 million) versus Q3 2025 ($46.2 million) pressured the combined ratio
  • Net unrealized losses on fixed maturity portfolio increased to $636.1 million from $259.5 million at June 30, 2026, reducing book value per share by 5.4%
  • Core Commercial segment reported a combined ratio of 100.5%, above the 100% profitability threshold, driven by elevated catastrophe losses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
38% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000944695-26-000019
Document: thg-ex99_1.htm0000944695-26-000019
Document: thg-20261028.htm0000944695-26-000019
Document: 0000944695-26-000019-index-headers.html0000944695-26-000019
Document: 0000944695-26-000019-index.html0000944695-26-000019
Document: 0000944695-26-000019.txt0000944695-26-000019
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000944695-26-000019
14 reports for THG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +21.98%May 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for THG, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 28, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$235.12awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$242.09 (+2.96%)
Oct 23, 2026
9d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$237.73awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$242.09 (+1.83%)
Sep 28, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$217.57awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$242.09 (+11.27%)
Sep 23, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$217.93awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$242.09 (+11.09%)
Aug 7, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$224.79awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$242.09 (+7.69%)
Jul 28, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$232.34 $239.59▲ +3.12%▼ −1.61%$242.09 (+4.20%)
May 27, 2026
22w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$185.69 $226.51▲ +21.98%▲ +20.54%$242.09 (+30.37%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$191.75 $223.11▲ +16.35%▲ +14.48%$242.09 (+26.25%)
May 19, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$194.56 $225.29▲ +15.79%▲ +10.79%$242.09 (+24.43%)
May 15, 2026
24w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$195.75 $222.24▲ +13.53%▲ +7.95%$242.09 (+23.67%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Mon (18h 16m)

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Report published Oct 28, 2026