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8-K ·Filed Jul 28, 2026

THG

HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC0000944695-26-000012
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The clean beat across underwriting, investment income, and premium growth with accelerating momentum in Core Commercial supports a bullish read-through. Watch the September 17 strategic outlook for updated long-term financial targets and any commentary on the CEO transition timeline. The $660M remaining buyback capacity provides a floor for the stock.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
THG ▲ +3.12% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.12% · α vs SPY -1.61% · entry $232.34 → $239.59
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.97%
call -0.97% · α -2.65%
$230.09
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-1.39%
call -1.39% · α -6.91%
$229.12
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-1.69%
call -1.69% · α -6.71%
$228.41
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+3.12%
call +3.12% · α -1.61%
$239.59
settled 6d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The Hanover Insurance Group reported record Q2 2026 net income of $191.6M ($5.38/diluted share) and operating income of $189.2M ($5.31/diluted share), crushing the $3.76 consensus by 41.3%. The combined ratio improved to 91.2% from 92.5% a year ago, driven by strong Personal Lines profitability (combined ratio 88.9% vs 95.5%) and robust net investment income growth of 13.4%. Net premiums written grew 4.6% with accelerating momentum in Core Commercial (+7.2%). The company also announced CEO John Roche's planned retirement at end of 2026, with Dick Lavey as successor, and has $660M remaining under its $700M buyback authorization. This is a clean beat across underwriting, investment income, and top-line growth, with no offsetting negatives.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$5.31
est $3.76 · +41.2%
Revenue
$1.7B
est $1.6B · +4.6% · +4.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net income $191.6M ($5.38/diluted share) vs $157.1M ($4.30) a year ago, a 22% increase
  • Operating income $189.2M ($5.31/diluted share) beat consensus of $3.76 by 41.3%
  • Combined ratio improved to 91.2% from 92.5% in Q2 2025; ex-catastrophes was 85.5%
  • Personal Lines operating income before taxes surged to $104.9M from $57.4M, with combined ratio improving to 88.9% from 95.5%
  • Net premiums written grew 4.6% to $1.66B; Core Commercial accelerated to +7.2%
  • Net investment income rose 13.4% to $119.6M on higher yields (fixed maturity yield 4.45% vs 4.24%)
  • Book value per share $105.40, up 3.5% from March 31, 2026; $111.26 excluding unrealized depreciation
  • Company repurchased ~291K shares for ~$55M in Q2; $660M remaining under $700M authorization
  • CEO John Roche to retire at end of 2026; Dick Lavey named successor

Financial Impact

Operating EPS of $5.31 vs $3.76 consensus — a 41.3% beat. Net income up 22% YoY. Combined ratio improved 130bps to 91.2%.

operating incomenet incomecombined rationet premiums writtennet investment incomebook value per share

Risk Factors

  • Catastrophe losses of $91.8M (5.7 points of combined ratio) remain elevated and unpredictable
  • Core Commercial current accident year combined ratio ex-catastrophes increased 1.8 points to 91.2% due to prudent loss ratio increases in liability coverages
  • CEO succession introduces modest leadership transition risk, though the successor is an internal candidate
  • Renewal price increases are decelerating across all segments (Core Commercial 7.8% vs 10.7% a year ago; Personal Lines 8.7% vs 12.3%)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000944695-26-000012
Document: thg-ex99_1.htm0000944695-26-000012
Document: thg-20260728.htm0000944695-26-000012
Document: 0000944695-26-000012-index-headers.html0000944695-26-000012
Document: 0000944695-26-000012-index.html0000944695-26-000012
Document: 0000944695-26-000012.txt0000944695-26-000012
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000944695-26-000012
13 reports for THG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for THG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$237.73awaiting T+60—$235.88 (−0.78%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$217.57awaiting T+60—$235.88 (+8.42%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$217.93awaiting T+60—$235.88 (+8.24%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$224.79awaiting T+60—$235.88 (+4.93%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$232.34 $239.59▲ +3.12%▼ −1.61%$235.88 (+1.52%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$185.69 $226.51▲ +21.98%▲ +20.54%$235.88 (+27.03%)
May 26, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$191.75 $223.11▲ +16.35%▲ +14.48%$235.88 (+23.01%)
May 19, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$194.56 $225.29▲ +15.79%▲ +10.79%$235.88 (+21.24%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$195.75 $222.24▲ +13.53%▲ +7.95%$235.88 (+20.50%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$191.87 $225.75▲ +17.66%▲ +14.07%$235.88 (+22.94%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 27m)

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Report published Jul 28, 2026