Institutional Cluster

TD

TORONTO DOMINION BANK
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 3 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The massive new position from Norges Bank could signal long-term confidence in Canadian banking stability or valuation appeal, while the quant and passive exits may reflect risk reduction, performance rebalancing, or sector rotation. Traders should monitor for follow-on buying from other active managers and watch for Q4 earnings or macroeconomic catalysts in Canada that may have triggered this divergence.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TD ▲ +15.46% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +15.46% · α vs SPY +6.13% · entry $97.49 → $112.56
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.55%
call -0.55% · α +0.37%
$96.95
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-2.99%
call -2.99% · α -1.78%
$94.57
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-6.83%
call -6.83% · α +1.11%
$90.83
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+15.46%
call +15.46% · α +6.13%
$112.56
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major institutions — including BofA's passive fund, RenTech, and Two Sigma — reduced or exited their positions in Toronto-Dominion Bank during Q4 2025, collectively selling $112.7M in shares, while Norges Bank initiated a substantial new position of $2.13B. This divergence shows a sharp split in institutional sentiment, with quant funds and a mega-passive seller trimming exposure while a sovereign wealth fund made a large new bet.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$2.1B
Sell Value
$112.7M
Net Flow
$2.0B

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $2.0B

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges BankNEW+0%$2.1B$2.1B

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM-29.1%$519.5M-$85.3M
RenTechTRIM-45%$76.8M-$27.0M
Two SigmaEXIT-100%$384.0K-$383.8K

Key Facts

  • Norges Bank established a new $2.13B position in TD, acquiring 22.56M shares.
  • BofA (mega_passive) trimmed its stake by 29.1%, reducing holdings by $85.3M.
  • RenTech (quant) cut its position by 45%, selling $27.0M in shares.
  • Two Sigma fully exited its small $384K position in TD.
  • Total selling value: $112.7M across 3 institutions; total buying: $2.13B from 1 buyer.

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of $2.02B ($2.13B bought, $112.7M sold), driven entirely by Norges Bank's new position.

institutional ownershipfloat concentrationinvestor sentiment

Risk Factors

  • The selling pressure from two quant funds may indicate concerns about near-term volatility or interest rate sensitivity.
  • Concentration risk: one buyer accounts for nearly all the net buying activity.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-TD-2025-Q4
13 reports for TD
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +27.81%Mar 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.09 $119.26▼ −1.51%▼ −1.00%—
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$121.31 $121.63▲ +0.26%▲ +0.66%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$121.15 $121.47▲ +0.26%▲ +0.87%—
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.53 $121.97▲ +1.19%▼ −1.37%—
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.53 $121.97▲ +1.19%▼ −1.37%—
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$121.43 $121.15▼ −0.23%▼ −1.56%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$119.58 $123.60▲ +3.36%▲ +3.51%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$119.58 $123.60▲ +3.36%▲ +3.51%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$116.25 $119.75▼ −3.01%▼ −1.12%—
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$105.39 $112.20▲ +6.46%▲ +1.01%—
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 6h 23m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access
Report published Feb 28, 2026