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6-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

TD

TORONTO DOMINION BANK
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed27d 3h ago SEC0001279569-26-000934
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor OSFI approval and the launch of the new NCIB on the TSX. The buyback signals strong capital management but is not a catalyst without execution. Watch for quarterly earnings for capital ratio updates and any changes to buyback pace.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
TD ▼ -3.11% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -3.11% · α vs SPY -5.03% · entry $116.72 → $113.08
Next anchor: T+20d in 19h
Latest observation: T+17 +6.74% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.07%
call +0.07% · α -0.11%
$116.80
settled 26d ago
T+5d
-3.11%
call -3.11% · α -5.03%
$113.08
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 19h
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TD Bank Group announced its intention to commence a new share buyback program to repurchase up to C$10 billion of its common shares (up to 61 million shares, ~3.74% of shares outstanding), subject to OSFI approval. The bank recently completed a C$7 billion buyback (47.2 million shares) under its existing NCIB. The announcement signals strong capital position (CET1 ratio of 14.26%) and shareholder return commitment, but the program is subject to regulatory approval and remains a forward-looking intention.

Key Facts

  • TD intends to commence a new share buyback program to repurchase up to C$10 billion of its common shares, not to exceed 61 million shares.
  • The new buyback represents up to 3.74% of the bank's 1,633,130,726 common shares outstanding as of August 31, 2026.
  • TD completed the repurchase of C$7 billion of its common shares (47.2 million shares) on September 25, 2026 under its existing NCIB.
  • The new buyback is subject to approval from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Canada (OSFI).
  • As of July 31, 2026, TD's Common Equity Tier 1 ratio was 14.26%, Tier 1 ratio 16.12%, Total Capital ratio 17.90%, and Leverage ratio 4.55%.
  • All purchased common shares will be cancelled.

Financial Impact

Up to C$10 billion share repurchase, representing ~3.74% of outstanding shares. Prior C$7 billion buyback completed September 25, 2026.

share countbook value per shareEPS

Risk Factors

  • Buyback is subject to OSFI approval and may not be completed as planned.
  • Forward-looking statements carry inherent uncertainty; actual repurchases depend on market conditions and regulatory constraints.
  • Large buyback reduces capital buffer, which could constrain future M&A or dividend growth.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001279569-26-000934
Exhibit: ex991.htm0001279569-26-000934
Document: 0001279569-26-000934-index-headers.html0001279569-26-000934
Document: 0001279569-26-000934-index.html0001279569-26-000934
Document: 0001279569-26-000934.txt0001279569-26-000934
18 reports for TD
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +28.71%Mar 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$125.12awaiting T+5—$125.48 (+0.29%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$115.10 $120.39▲ +4.60%▲ +6.56%$125.48 (+9.02%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$115.10 $120.39▲ +4.60%▲ +6.56%$125.48 (+9.02%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$116.72 $113.08▼ −3.11%▼ −5.03%$125.48 (+7.51%)
Sep 29, 2026
28d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.53 $113.87▼ −3.11%▼ −5.03%$125.48 (+6.76%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.09 $123.31▲ +1.83%▲ +1.56%$125.48 (+3.63%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$121.08 $124.34▲ +2.69%▲ +2.74%$125.48 (+3.63%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$121.18 $123.11▲ +1.59%▲ +0.38%$125.48 (+3.55%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.53 $119.65▼ −0.73%▲ +0.50%$125.48 (+4.11%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.53 $119.65▼ −0.73%▲ +0.50%$125.48 (+4.11%)
Showing 10 of 18

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Report published Sep 30, 2026