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S-3ASR ·Filed Apr 7, 2026

TBNRL

Tamboran Resources Corp
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001193125-26-145543
Notable filing: S-3ASR
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for future prospectus supplements that will disclose the specific terms of any offering (size, price, use of proceeds). The shelf filing increases the risk of dilutive capital raises, which could pressure the stock price, especially given the company's going concern warning and lack of revenue. Assess any future offering's size relative to the current market cap to gauge dilution impact.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TBNRL ▲ +5.71% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.71% · α vs SPY +4.74% · entry $0.1750 → $0.1850
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α -2.28%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α +0.66%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +8.54%
$0.1750
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+5.71%
call -5.71% · α +4.74%
$0.1850
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources Corp filed an S-3ASR shelf registration, enabling it to offer up to $1 billion in securities (common stock, preferred stock, warrants, purchase contracts, units, rights) from time to time. The filing itself does not raise capital but signals potential future dilution. The company has substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to recurring losses and negative cash flows.

Key Facts

  • Filed S-3ASR shelf registration allowing future issuance of up to $1 billion in securities.
  • No specific offering size, price, or use of proceeds disclosed in this filing.
  • Company has substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern (per 10-K).
  • No material revenue expected until late 2026 and limited operating history.
  • Common stock last traded at $42.94 per share on April 6, 2026.

Financial Impact

Potential future dilution of up to $1 billion in equity or other securities.

dilutionmarket_capshareholder_equity

Risk Factors

  • Future dilutive share issuance could significantly dilute existing shareholders.
  • The company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
  • No material revenue is expected until late 2026, creating significant funding needs.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3ASR Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-145543
Document: d44202dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-145543
Document: d44202dex51.htm0001193125-26-145543
Document: d44202dex232.htm0001193125-26-145543
Document: 0001193125-26-145543-index-headers.html0001193125-26-145543
Document: 0001193125-26-145543-index.html0001193125-26-145543
Document: 0001193125-26-145543.txt0001193125-26-145543
8 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +2.78%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +5.92%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +3.64%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 14, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Apr 7, 2026