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S-3ASR ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

KOD

Kodiak Sciences Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 19h ago SEC0001193125-26-426854
Notable filing: S-3ASR
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the pace of ATM sales via quarterly filings to gauge dilution pressure. The BLA submission for Zenkuda in Q4 2026 and KSI-101 Phase 3 data in December 2026 are the key catalysts that could offset dilution concerns.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
KOD ▼ -2.21% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.21% · α vs SPY +1.03% · entry $87.72 → $85.78
Next anchor: T+5d in 19h
Latest observation: T+2 +3.34% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.21%
call +2.21% · α +1.03%
$85.78
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 19h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Kodiak Sciences filed an automatic shelf registration (S-3ASR) on October 20, 2026, registering an unlimited amount of securities, and concurrently entered into an at-the-market (ATM) distribution agreement with J.P. Morgan to sell up to $350 million of common stock. The company is a pre-commercial biotech with three late-stage retinal programs and plans to submit a BLA for Zenkuda in Q4 2026. The ATM provides capital flexibility ahead of potential commercialization, but introduces dilution risk.

Key Facts

  • Filed S-3ASR shelf registration for unlimited securities on October 20, 2026.
  • Entered into an ATM distribution agreement with J.P. Morgan to sell up to $350,000,000 of common stock.
  • J.P. Morgan will receive up to 3% of gross proceeds as compensation.
  • Stock price on October 19, 2026 was $91.35 per share.
  • Company is pre-commercial with no revenue, planning BLA submission for Zenkuda in Q4 2026.
  • Net tangible book value as of June 30, 2026 was $61.1 million ($0.97 per share).
  • Pro forma net tangible book value after full ATM issuance would be $400.2 million ($6.00 per share).
  • Dilution to new investors at assumed $91.35 price would be $85.35 per share.
  • Prior 10-K (Dec 31, 2025) included a going concern explanatory paragraph from auditors.

Financial Impact

Up to $350 million in potential common stock sales; full issuance would increase shares outstanding by ~6.1% from 62.8M to ~66.7M shares.

dilutionshares outstandingcash balance

Risk Factors

  • Dilution from potential ATM sales could pressure stock price.
  • Pre-commercial stage with no revenue; going concern risk noted in prior audit.
  • BLA submission and regulatory approval for Zenkuda are uncertain.
  • Competition from existing anti-VEGF therapies (Eylea, Vabysmo) and other pipeline candidates.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3ASR Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-426854
Document: d143488dex43.htm0001193125-26-426854
9 reports for KOD
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +17.99%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KOD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$87.72 $85.78▲ +2.21%▲ +1.03%$90.68 (−3.37%)
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$98.46 $94.45▼ −4.07%▼ −4.81%$90.68 (−7.91%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$98.46 $94.45▼ −4.07%▼ −4.81%$90.68 (−7.91%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.92 $91.12▲ +1.33%▲ +1.52%$90.68 (+0.84%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.35 $40.98▼ −0.89%▼ −0.42%$90.68 (+119.29%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$41.35 $40.98▼ −0.89%▼ −0.42%$90.68 (+119.29%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$33.97 $34.06▲ +0.26%▼ −0.28%$90.68 (+166.93%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.01 $39.85▼ −2.83%▼ −3.06%$90.68 (+121.10%)
Mar 31, 2026
29w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$42.81 $40.63▼ −5.09%▼ −5.17%$90.68 (+111.81%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 20, 2026