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8-K ·Filed May 28, 2026

TBNRL

Tamboran Resources Corp
NEUTRAL
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-038647
8-K material event: Items 2.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The acquisition is a strategic acreage consolidation with no material revenue impact yet, but the operational focus on drilling at least four wells and stimulating five in 2026, plus first gas sales on track for Q3 2026, could be catalysts. Monitor Q3 2026 progress toward first gas and the 71-day pro forma financial statement amendment for basic financial data on the acquired entities.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TBNRL ▲ +8.33% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +8.33% · α vs SPY +6.60% · entry $0.1800 → $0.1950
Entry = T+0 close
May 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.24%
$0.1800
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.05%
$0.1800
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+2.78%
call +2.78% · α +5.92%
$0.1850
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+8.33%
call +8.33% · α +6.60%
$0.1950
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources completed the acquisition of subsidiaries of Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd., issuing 6,537,503 shares of common stock and paying $23,663,080 in cash. This consolidates Tamboran's position as the largest acreage holder in the Beetaloo Basin depocenter with ~2.8 million net prospective acres, and the company now has 34,856,412 shares outstanding with a pro forma market cap of ~US$1.2 billion. The transaction closed following final court approval from the Supreme Court of British Columbia, with a dissenting shareholder subject to sanctions receiving cash into a blocked account.

Key Financial Metrics

Dilution
23.08%

Key Facts

  • Completed acquisition of all subsidiaries of Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. via plan of arrangement
  • Issued 6,537,503 shares of common stock as stock consideration and paid $23,663,080 in cash
  • Tamboran now holds ~2.8 million net prospective acres, the largest acreage position in the Beetaloo Basin depocenter
  • Total shares outstanding post-acquisition: 34,856,412 including CDIs; pro forma market cap ~US$1.2 billion
  • Dissenting subject shareholder will receive the greater of cash consideration or fair value into a blocked account; no reversion to Tamboran
  • Issued options to acquire 369,084 shares at $21.94 per share to certain Falcon directors/officers
  • First gas sales from Pilot Project commissioning remain on track for Q3 2026
  • Three-well stimulation program on SS2 pad commenced, expected tie-in to Sturt Plateau Compression Facility in Q3 2026

Financial Impact

Total consideration of $23.66M cash plus 6.54M shares; pro forma market cap ~$1.2B

share countmarket capitalizationacreage positiondilution

Risk Factors

  • No proved reserves reported; exploration-stage risk that drilling may not yield commercial quantities of natural gas
  • Forward-looking statements cite substantial doubt about ability to continue as a going concern
  • Dissenting shareholder may claim fair value exceeding cash consideration in court, creating contingent liability
  • Execution risk on 2026 operational program and pilot project commissioning

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-038647
Document: a260528exodus-tamborancl.htm0001628280-26-038647
Document: 0001628280-26-038647-index-headers.html0001628280-26-038647
Document: 0001628280-26-038647-index.html0001628280-26-038647
Document: 0001628280-26-038647.txt0001628280-26-038647
8 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
20% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +2.78%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +5.92%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +3.64%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 14, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published May 28, 2026