8-K ·Filed Apr 28, 2026

SBUX

STARBUCKS CORP
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0000829224-26-000078
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The underlying business is improving (comps, margins, EPS growth), but the structurally lower revenue from China deconsolidation creates a headwind. Watch for Q3 reported revenue to drop materially and monitor margin progression without China dilution. The stock may trade on China JV details and cost control.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SBUX ▼ -2.12% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -2.12% · α vs SPY -5.86% · entry $105.45 → $103.21
Entry anchored
Apr 28, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.13%
call -0.13% · α -1.16%
$105.31
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+0.84%
call +0.84% · α -2.27%
$106.34
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-4.49%
call -4.49% · α -10.53%
$100.72
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-2.12%
call -2.12% · α -5.86%
$103.21
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Starbucks Q2 FY2026 beat consensus on EPS ($0.50 non-GAAP vs $0.44) and revenue ($9.53B vs $9.23B), with global comp sales up 6.2%. However, FY2026 revenue guidance was revised to roughly flat (from prior growth) due to the China JV deconsolidation, and North America operating income declined 9% on labor investments. The raised EPS guidance ($2.25-$2.45) partially offsets the revenue headwind, creating a mixed outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.50
est $0.44 · +13.6%
Revenue
$9.5B
est $9.2B · +3.3% · +8.8% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
roughly flat year-over-year
raised
Gross Margin
66.34%

Key Facts

  • Q2 revenue $9.53B (+8.8% YoY), above consensus $9.23B
  • Non-GAAP EPS $0.50 (+22% YoY), GAAP EPS $0.45 (+32% YoY)
  • Global comparable store sales +6.2% (transaction-led)
  • North America comp sales +7.1%, but operating income -9% due to labor investments
  • FY2026 guidance raised: comp sales growth ≥5% (from ≥3%), non-GAAP EPS $2.25-$2.45 (from $2.15-$2.40)
  • FY2026 revenue guidance cut to roughly flat YoY (from growing at comp rate) reflecting China JV deconsolidation
  • Closed China JV with Boyu Capital; retains 40% stake (deconsolidates China retail from Q3)

Financial Impact

Q2 beat: non-GAAP EPS beat consensus by 13.6%, revenue beat by 3.3%. FY guidance: EPS raised but revenue flat, net mixed impact.

revenueepsoperating incomecomparable store sales

Risk Factors

  • Revenue decline from China JV deconsolidation starting Q3
  • North America margin pressure from labor and commodity inflation
  • Tariff and coffee cost volatility
  • Execution risk on China joint venture

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Analyst Consensus
46% bullish (48 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000829224-26-000078
Document: sbux-20260428.htm0000829224-26-000078
Document: 0000829224-26-000078-index-headers.html0000829224-26-000078
Document: 0000829224-26-000078-index.html0000829224-26-000078
Document: 0000829224-26-000078.txt0000829224-26-000078
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000829224-26-000078
17 reports for SBUX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +4.86%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SBUX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
16d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$97.34 $94.14▼ −3.29%▼ −5.85%$95.11 (−2.30%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$101.05 $104.06▲ +2.98%▲ +1.97%$95.11 (−5.88%)
Jun 14, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$101.59 $100.15▼ −1.42%▼ −0.03%$95.11 (−6.38%)
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$101.59 $100.15▼ −1.42%▼ −0.03%$95.11 (−6.38%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$102.28 $99.82▼ −2.41%▼ −2.84%$95.11 (−7.02%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$101.35 $96.51▼ −4.77%▼ −5.86%$95.11 (−6.16%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$104.11 $99.12▼ −4.79%▼ −6.64%$95.11 (−8.65%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$106.60 $101.42▼ −4.86%▼ −6.48%$95.11 (−10.78%)
May 15, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$106.76 $103.10▲ +3.43%▲ +4.39%$95.11 (+10.91%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$106.38 $104.11▼ −2.13%▼ −1.42%$95.11 (−10.60%)
Showing 10 of 17

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