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8-K ·Filed Sep 24, 2026

SBUX

STARBUCKS CORP
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0000829224-26-000145
8-K material event: Items 2.05
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The combination of store closures and a 27-32% cut to net new store opening guidance signals a significant strategic retrenchment in North America. Monitor upcoming quarterly earnings for the actual financial impact of the charges and any further revisions to the store portfolio strategy.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+20d
SBUX ▲ +8.82% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.82% · α vs SPY -9.24% · entry $93.65 → $101.91
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+21 -9.21% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.29%
call -1.29% · α -0.75%
$94.86
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+1.31%
call -1.31% · α -1.73%
$94.88
settled 27d ago
T+20d
+8.82%
call -8.82% · α -9.24%
$101.91
settled 6d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

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Executive Summary

Starbucks announced the closure of approximately 1% of its North America store portfolio (~180 stores) as part of its 'Back to Starbucks' strategy, incurring ~$300M in restructuring charges. The company also slashed its FY2026 net new store opening guidance from 600-650 to ~440, reflecting the closures partially offset by international growth.

Key Facts

  • Board approved further actions under the 'Back to Starbucks' strategy on September 22, 2026.
  • Approximately 1% of more than 18,000 North America coffeehouses will be closed (~180 stores).
  • Total restructuring charges of approximately $300 million: ~$200 million cash (lease exit costs, employee separation benefits) and ~$100 million non-cash (disposal and impairment of assets).
  • Majority of closures expected by end of fiscal year 2026; significant portion of charges incurred in FY2026.
  • FY2026 net new global store openings guidance reduced to approximately 440, down from prior guidance of 600 to 650.
  • Approximately 250 closures in North America, partially offset by higher net new openings in International markets.

Financial Impact

Approximately $300 million in total restructuring charges, with ~$200 million in cash charges and ~$100 million in non-cash charges.

store countnet new openingsrestructuring chargescash chargesnon-cash charges

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk associated with closing ~180 stores and managing lease exit costs.
  • Potential for further store closures or additional restructuring charges if the portfolio review expands.
  • Reduced store growth may pressure long-term revenue growth expectations.

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000829224-26-000145
Document: 0000829224-26-000145-index-headers.html0000829224-26-000145
Document: 0000829224-26-000145-index.html0000829224-26-000145
Document: 0000829224-26-000145.txt0000829224-26-000145
18 reports for SBUX
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +4.86%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SBUX, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$93.65awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$103.04 (−10.03%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$97.34awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$103.04 (+5.86%)
Jun 23, 2026
18w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$103.53 $95.83▼ −7.44%▼ −11.32%$103.04 (−0.47%)
Jun 14, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$101.59 $100.04▼ −1.53%▼ −2.53%$103.04 (+1.43%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$101.59 $100.04▼ −1.53%▼ −2.53%$103.04 (+1.43%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$102.28 $104.47▲ +2.14%▼ −2.25%$103.04 (+0.74%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$102.10 $107.08▲ +4.88%▲ +2.84%$103.04 (+0.92%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$104.11 $107.77▲ +3.52%▼ −0.52%$103.04 (−1.02%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$106.38 $107.69▲ +1.23%▼ −4.58%$103.04 (−3.14%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$106.76 $106.65▲ +0.10%▲ +4.35%$103.04 (+3.48%)
Showing 10 of 18

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Report published Sep 24, 2026