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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 6, 2026

RXRX

Recursion Pharmaceuticals
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The EPS beat and improved cash burn are positive, but the 56% revenue decline is a significant red flag. Watch for upcoming REC-4881 regulatory update in 2H26 and additional REC-1245 dose escalation data — these are the key catalysts. The reiterated cash runway into early 2028 provides a long buffer, but revenue trajectory needs to stabilize for sustained bullish sentiment.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RXRX ▼ -12.54% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -12.54% · α vs SPY -14.60% · entry $3.43 → $3.00
Entry = T+0 close
May 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.66%
call -4.66% · α -4.33%
$3.27
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-8.16%
call -8.16% · α -9.29%
$3.15
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+1.17%
call +1.17% · α -1.62%
$3.47
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-12.54%
call -12.54% · α -14.60%
$3.00
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Recursion Pharmaceuticals reported Q1 2026 EPS of -$0.21, beating consensus of -$0.26 by 18.3%, while revenue of $6.5M missed the $15.8M estimate by 58.9%. The company reiterated its 2026 cash burn guidance of <$390M and highlighted clinical progress across multiple pipeline programs, but the sharp revenue decline and ongoing losses temper the positive EPS surprise.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.21
est −$0.26 · +19.2%
Revenue
$6.5M
est $15.8M · -59.0% · -56.1% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • EPS of -$0.21 beat consensus of -$0.26 by 18.3%
  • Revenue of $6.5M missed consensus of $15.8M by 58.9%
  • Net loss narrowed to $117.5M from $202.5M in Q1 2025
  • Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash: $665.2M as of March 31, 2026
  • Reiterated 2026 operational cash burn guidance of <$390M, runway into early 2028
  • R&D expenses decreased to $87.9M from $129.6M YoY
  • Operating cash flow improved to -$81.1M from -$132.0M YoY
  • REC-1245 (RBM39 degrader) showed favorable safety and PK data in Phase 1/2
  • REC-4881 (MEK1/2) Phase 2 data showed 43% median polyp burden reduction at Week 13
  • First patient dosed in REC-4539 (LSD1 inhibitor) Phase 1 study in April 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue declined 56.1% YoY to $6.5M; net loss improved 42.0% YoY to $117.5M; cash burn reduced 38.6% YoY to $81.1M operating cash outflow

revenuenet losscash burnR&D expenses

Risk Factors

  • Revenue decline of 56% YoY due to completion of Roche project phases
  • Heavy reliance on partnership revenue; no product revenue yet
  • High cash burn rate despite improvements; $665M cash may not cover all pipeline programs
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; all programs are early-stage

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3288617
21 reports for RXRX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+1▲ +16.71%Oct 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RXRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.47 $3.58▼ −3.32%▼ −3.23%$4.06 (−17.17%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$4.06 (−2.41%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$4.06 (−2.41%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▲ +13.94%▲ +12.93%$4.06 (+2.41%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$4.06 (−2.41%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▲ +13.94%▲ +12.93%$4.06 (+2.41%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.63 $3.84▼ −17.17%▼ −17.03%$4.06 (−12.31%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.63 $3.84▼ −17.17%▼ −17.03%$4.06 (−12.31%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$3.97 $3.70▼ −6.80%▼ −5.78%$4.06 (+2.26%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.20 $3.83▲ +19.69%▲ +20.03%$4.06 (+26.87%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published May 6, 2026