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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

RXRX

Recursion Pharmaceuticals
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed11d 13h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Announcement
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The offering closes the next day, so the dilution is immediate. Monitor for any subsequent insider selling or additional capital needs; the cash runway extension into 2029 reduces near-term financing risk but the dilutive overhang may pressure the stock near-term.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
RXRX ▼ -13.94% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.94% · α vs SPY +12.93% · entry $4.16 → $3.58
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 +13.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-16.71%
call +16.71% · α +15.60%
$3.47
settled 11d ago
T+5d
-13.94%
call +13.94% · α +12.93%
$3.58
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Recursion Pharmaceuticals priced a $200 million underwritten public offering of 61.54 million shares at $3.25 per share, diluting existing shareholders by approximately 23% based on pre-offering shares outstanding. The offering, which closed the next day, extends cash runway into 2029 but represents a significant near-term dilution event.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$200.0M

Key Facts

  • Offering of 61,540,000 shares at $3.25 per share for gross proceeds of ~$200 million
  • Expected to close on October 16, 2026
  • Underwriters include Leerink Partners, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Evercore, and Needham
  • Participation from Janus Henderson, Invus, Longaeva Partners, ARK Invest, Driehaus Capital Management
  • Prospectus supplement filed on October 15, 2026 under existing S-3 shelf registration

Financial Impact

~$200 million gross proceeds; dilution of ~23% based on pre-offering share count (61.54M new shares vs. ~268M shares outstanding prior to offering)

dilutioncash runway

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution of ~23% for existing shareholders
  • Potential downward pressure on stock price from increased float
  • Offering priced at $3.25, near recent trading levels, offering no premium cushion

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3381643
21 reports for RXRX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+5 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+1▲ +16.71%Oct 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RXRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.47 $3.58▼ −3.32%▼ −3.23%$3.80 (−9.67%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$3.80 (−8.65%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$3.80 (−8.65%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▲ +13.94%▲ +12.93%$3.80 (+8.65%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▼ −13.94%▼ −12.93%$3.80 (−8.65%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.16 $3.58▲ +13.94%▲ +12.93%$3.80 (+8.65%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.63 $3.84▼ −17.17%▼ −17.03%$3.80 (−17.93%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.63 $3.84▼ −17.17%▼ −17.03%$3.80 (−17.93%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$3.97 $3.70▼ −6.80%▼ −5.78%$3.80 (−4.28%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.20 $3.83▲ +19.69%▲ +20.03%$3.80 (+18.75%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 13m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026