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425 ·Filed Oct 28, 2026

RXO

RXO, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6d 21h ago SEC0001193125-26-436303
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

CHRW delivered another quarter of double-digit earnings growth, reinforcing its ability to execute on its Lean AI strategy. The strong results provide a positive backdrop for the pending RXO acquisition, as management directly linked the operating model to integration success. Monitor the S-4 registration statement filing and any regulatory updates for the deal timeline.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks

How the stock moved after the report

⚠ Clustered BULLISH VIEWSTOCK BELOW ENTRY AT T+1
Entry
$27.65
T+0 close · Oct 28, 2026 · via day close
Latest settled
−0.58%
T+1 · $27.49 · next T+5 due 7h ago
vs SPY
+1.19%
α at T+1
Latest observation
+1.24%
T+2 · FF3 residual α
  1. T+0 · Oct 28 $27.65entry
  2. T+1 · 6d ago −0.58%α +1.19% · $27.49
  3. T+5 · due 7h ago Pending
  4. T+5 · todayOpen
  5. T+20 · in 21d Pending
  6. T+60 · in 3mo Pending

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Executive Summary

C.H. Robinson (CHRW) filed its Q3 2026 earnings results, reporting strong double-digit growth in revenue, income from operations, and EPS. The filing also serves as a Rule 425 communication regarding the pending $5.8 billion acquisition of RXO, with management emphasizing that the same operating model driving CHRW's results will enable successful integration of RXO. No changes to deal terms or timeline were disclosed.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$5.8B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Total revenues increased 29.5% to $5.4 billion in Q3 2026 vs Q3 2025
  • Income from operations increased 23.1% to $271.8 million
  • Diluted EPS increased 24.6% to $1.67; adjusted diluted EPS increased 28.6% to $1.80
  • NAST volume increased ~3.5% YoY, outpacing the Cass Freight Shipment Index for the 14th consecutive quarter
  • NAST and Global Forwarding both achieved mid-cycle operating margin targets
  • Cash returned to shareholders increased 52.5% to $289.1 million, including $214.3 million in share repurchases
  • Cash generated from operations decreased to $124.1 million from $275.4 million due to working capital changes
  • Pending $5.8 billion acquisition of RXO by CHRW expected to close in H1 2027, with no term changes disclosed

Financial Impact

Revenue +29.5%, operating income +23.1%, diluted EPS +24.6% YoY in Q3 2026

revenueepsoperating incomeadjusted gross profitcash flow from operations

Risk Factors

  • Cash from operations declined significantly due to working capital tied to higher transportation rates
  • Pending RXO acquisition faces regulatory and stockholder approval risks, with a $175M termination fee
  • Integration of RXO may be more costly or take longer than anticipated

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Transportation Services
Analyst Consensus
40% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-436303
Document: 0001193125-26-436303-index-headers.html0001193125-26-436303
Document: 0001193125-26-436303-index.html0001193125-26-436303
Document: 0001193125-26-436303.txt0001193125-26-436303
32 reports for RXO
Performance horizon
93% Hit rate @ T+5 13 of 14 bullish or bearish reports Went positive at some point 14 of 15 best @ T+60▲ +140.26%Mar 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RXO, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 30, 2026
4d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.82awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+1.51%)
Oct 29, 2026
5d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.49awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+2.73%)
Oct 29, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$27.65awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+2.13%)
Oct 28, 2026
6d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$27.65awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+2.13%)
Oct 28, 2026
6d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$27.65awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+2.13%)
Oct 28, 2026
6d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$27.65awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$28.24 (+2.13%)
Oct 9, 2026
26d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$29.08 $28.60▼ −1.65%▲ +0.32%$28.24 (−2.89%)
Oct 8, 2026
26d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.08 $28.60▼ −1.65%▲ +0.32%$28.24 (−2.89%)
Oct 6, 2026
28d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.24 (−0.42%)
Oct 6, 2026
28d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.24 (−0.42%)
Showing 10 of 32

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Report published Oct 28, 2026