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SC 13D ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

RXO

RXO, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 18h ago SEC0001193125-26-414547
Activist investor acquires 5%+ stake
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

MFN Partners' 19.3% stake and voting agreement with C.H. Robinson effectively lock up shareholder approval for the merger. Monitor the merger proxy statement for deal terms and any competing bids. The warrants exercisable at $0.01 suggest MFN has a very low cost basis, reducing their incentive to oppose the deal.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
RXO ▲ +0.21% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.21% · α vs SPY +0.35% · entry $28.54 → $28.60
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+13 -1.79% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.63%
call -0.63% · α -0.39%
$28.36
settled 20d ago
T+5d
+0.21%
call +0.21% · α +0.35%
$28.60
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MFN Partners, LP filed a Schedule 13D disclosing a 19.3% beneficial stake in RXO, Inc. (32,687,269 shares including warrants). The filing reveals that MFN Partners has entered into a voting agreement with C.H. Robinson Worldwide in connection with a merger agreement, committing to vote its shares in favor of the deal. This is a significant activist position tied to a pending acquisition, not a standalone activist campaign.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
19.3%
Investor
MFN Partners, LP

Key Facts

  • MFN Partners, LP holds 32,687,269 shares of RXO common stock (including 4,577,327 shares issuable upon exercise of warrants at $0.01 per share), representing 19.3% of outstanding shares.
  • On October 4, 2026, RXO entered into a merger agreement with C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. and related entities.
  • MFN Partners entered into a voting agreement with C.H. Robinson on October 4, 2026, committing to vote all its shares in favor of the merger.
  • The stake was acquired from November 1, 2022 through February 12, 2026 using working capital of the partnership.
  • The filing converts MFN Partners' prior Schedule 13G (passive) to a Schedule 13D (active), reflecting the voting agreement and merger context.

Financial Impact

MFN Partners controls 19.3% of RXO shares, a blocking stake that effectively ensures shareholder approval of the C.H. Robinson merger. The merger consideration and premium are not disclosed in this filing.

ownershipvoting controlmerger approval

Risk Factors

  • The merger could be challenged by other shareholders or regulators, though MFN's large stake reduces approval risk.
  • If the merger fails, MFN's intentions are unclear — they could push for operational changes, a sale process, or board representation.
  • The warrants have a 19.9% beneficial ownership cap, limiting further accumulation without triggering the cap.

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-414547
Document: 0001193125-26-414547-index.html0001193125-26-414547
Document: 0001193125-26-414547.txt0001193125-26-414547
26 reports for RXO
Performance horizon
92% Hit rate @ T+5 12 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 13 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +140.26%Mar 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RXO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$29.08 $28.60▼ −1.65%▲ +0.32%$28.69 (−1.34%)
Oct 8, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.08 $28.60▼ −1.65%▲ +0.32%$28.69 (−1.34%)
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.69 (+1.16%)
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.69 (+1.16%)
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.69 (+1.16%)
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.36 $28.69▲ +1.16%▲ +2.14%$28.69 (+1.16%)
Oct 5, 2026
20d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.54 $28.60▲ +0.21%▲ +0.35%$28.69 (+0.53%)
Oct 5, 2026
20d ago
SC 13D
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.54 $28.60▲ +0.21%▲ +0.35%$28.69 (+0.53%)
Oct 5, 2026
20d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$28.54 $28.60▲ +0.21%▲ +0.35%$28.69 (+0.53%)
Oct 5, 2026
20d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.54 $28.60▲ +0.21%▲ +0.35%$28.69 (+0.53%)
Showing 10 of 26

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Report published Oct 5, 2026