Insider Buy ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

RSG

REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-098392
Insider cluster: 1 insiders, $218.7M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

A 10% owner spending $219M over one week to accumulate shares is a material signal of confidence at current prices. Given the prior cluster (Aug 13-17) adds another ~$117M, the combined ~$336M buying from this insider in two weeks is unusually aggressive. Monitor for a potential value-unlocking catalyst (share repurchase acceleration, M&A, or strategic shift) that a control holder might be anticipating. If RSG pulls back 2-3% without new negative news, this buying floor could provide support.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
RSG ▲ +1.30% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.30% · α vs SPY +2.62% · entry $216.97 → $219.80
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+30 -5.14% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 17, 06:35 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.88%
call +1.88% · α +1.67%
$221.04
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+1.84%
call +1.84% · α +2.04%
$220.96
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+1.30%
call +1.30% · α +2.62%
$219.80
settled 17d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C., a 10% owner and likely control entity, purchased approximately $218.67 million of RSG common stock over a 7-day window in multiple open-market transactions. This is a massive conviction buy from an insider with a control stake, representing roughly 0.33% of the $65.9B market cap — falling into the 'modest' proportionality band but amplified by the insider's strategic position and the concentrated buying pattern.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$218.7M
Insiders
1

Key Facts

  • CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C., a 10% owner, purchased ~$218.67M of RSG stock between August 7 and August 14, 2026.
  • All transactions were open-market purchases (Form 4 code P) — no 10b5-1 plan indicated, no non-cash exercises.
  • Cluster spanned 21 distinct trades across 5 trading days, all buys, averaging ~$10.4M per trade.
  • Total buy value is approximately 0.33% of RSG's $65.9B market cap — modest in percentage terms but enormous in absolute dollars.
  • The same insider also filed cluster buys on Aug 13-17 totaling ~$117M, extending the pattern.
  • Prior insider reports on RSG have had a 14% win rate over T+20 with an average alpha of -2.21% — the model has historically been bearish-neutral where the stock then lagged, but a genuine conviction buy from a control insider at this scale is a different event class.
  • RSG has 33 analysts with 58% bullish rating (7 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 14 Hold).

Financial Impact

Total insider purchase of approximately $218.67 million, representing ~0.33% of market cap

insider ownershipnet insider direction

Risk Factors

  • Prior RSG insider cluster reports have underperformed SPY by an average of -2.21% at T+20, suggesting the stock may not react strongly to insider buying patterns.
  • As a 10% owner, Cascade Investment may be subject to Rule 144 volume restrictions that cap future selling — this could be balance-sheet repositioning rather than fundamental conviction.
  • At 0.33% of market cap, the proportional impact is modest despite the large absolute dollar amount.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Refuse Systems
Analyst Consensus
58% bullish (33 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INSIDER-BUY Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-098392
15 reports for RSG
Performance horizon
58% Hit rate 7 of 12 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +3.63%Aug 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RSG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.04 $213.88▼ −4.11%▼ −6.23%$207.51 (−6.96%)
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$221.08 $218.93▼ −0.97%▼ −0.47%$207.51 (−6.14%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$225.12 $222.74▼ −1.06%▲ +0.09%$207.51 (−7.82%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.29 $222.47▼ −0.37%▼ −0.45%$207.51 (−7.07%)
Aug 28, 2026
4w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$220.92 $221.63▲ +0.32%▲ +0.46%$207.51 (−6.07%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.08 $220.92▼ −0.97%▼ −1.44%$207.51 (−6.98%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$219.50 $219.27▼ −0.10%▼ −1.22%$207.51 (−5.46%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$216.97 $220.96▲ +1.84%▲ +2.04%$207.51 (−4.36%)
Aug 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$215.26 $223.08▲ +3.63%▲ +4.82%$207.51 (−3.60%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$214.26 $221.04▲ +3.16%▲ +3.61%$207.51 (−3.15%)
Showing 10 of 15

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