Insider Buy ·Filed Sep 10, 2026

RSG

REPUBLIC SERVICES, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed21d 11h ago SEC0001104659-26-106713
Insider cluster: 1 insiders, $370.5M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is a strong bullish signal from a 10% owner deploying significant capital. Traders should monitor for any upcoming corporate announcements (earnings, M&A, or strategic updates) that may have prompted this conviction buy. The stock's recent insider accumulation pattern suggests management/owners see material upside. Consider accumulating on any weakness.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
RSG ▼ -0.97% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.97% · α vs SPY -0.47% · entry $221.08 → $218.93
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+14 -4.35% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 9, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.75%
call +0.75% · α -0.10%
$222.74
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-0.97%
call -0.97% · α -0.47%
$218.93
settled 16d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5d
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cascade Investment, L.L.C., a 10% owner of Republic Services, executed a massive open-market purchase of ~1.7M shares worth approximately $370.5M over a 7-day window (Sep 1-8, 2026). This represents about 0.54% of the company's $68.1B market cap, a highly material conviction buy from the largest insider, signaling strong confidence in the company's near-term prospects. The purchase is amplified by the cross-filing context showing a cluster of buys from the same entity, and the historical calibration supports a bullish read given the magnitude and insider type.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$370.5M
Insiders
1

Key Facts

  • Cascade Investment, L.L.C. (10% Owner) purchased ~1.7M shares of RSG for ~$370.5M in open-market transactions from Sep 1-8, 2026.
  • The total purchase value represents ~0.54% of RSG's $68.1B market cap, a significant and highly material insider buy.
  • This is a solitary conviction buy from a single 10% owner, but the cross-filing context confirms a cluster of 6 trades from the same entity within a 7-day window, amplifying the signal.
  • The purchase price range was $220.37 to $225.35 per share, near the current stock price.
  • Recent insider activity (30d) shows 10 buys totaling $258.8M, indicating sustained insider accumulation.

Financial Impact

~$370.5M open-market purchase by a 10% owner, representing ~0.54% of market cap

insider ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • The purchase is from a single 10% owner (Cascade Investment), not C-suite executives, which may carry slightly less informational weight than a CEO/CFO buy.
  • The historical calibration shows that for this filing type, score-7 reports have a 43% observed probability of up-moves at T+20, with a negative net alpha, suggesting some risk of over-scoring.
  • No specific catalyst is identified; the buy could be based on long-term fundamental views rather than near-term events.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Refuse Systems
Analyst Consensus
55% bullish (33 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INSIDER-BUY Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-106713
15 reports for RSG
Performance horizon
58% Hit rate 7 of 12 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +3.63%Aug 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RSG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.04 $213.88▼ −4.11%▼ −6.23%$208.98 (−6.30%)
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$221.08 $218.93▼ −0.97%▼ −0.47%$208.98 (−5.47%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$225.12 $222.74▼ −1.06%▲ +0.09%$208.98 (−7.17%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.29 $222.47▼ −0.37%▼ −0.45%$208.98 (−6.41%)
Aug 28, 2026
4w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$220.92 $221.63▲ +0.32%▲ +0.46%$208.98 (−5.40%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$223.08 $220.92▼ −0.97%▼ −1.44%$208.98 (−6.32%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$219.50 $219.27▼ −0.10%▼ −1.22%$208.98 (−4.79%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$216.97 $220.96▲ +1.84%▲ +2.04%$208.98 (−3.68%)
Aug 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$215.26 $223.08▲ +3.63%▲ +4.82%$208.98 (−2.92%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$214.26 $221.04▲ +3.16%▲ +3.61%$208.98 (−2.46%)
Showing 10 of 15

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