Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Sep 10, 2026

RGTI

Rigetti Computing, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed21d 10h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $2.3M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The CEO's sale immediately following a major government contract is a cautionary signal, though the dollar amount is small relative to market cap. Monitor for additional insider sales in the coming weeks—if the CEO continues selling, it would amplify the bearish read. The CHIPS Act award's milestone structure ($29.9M and $26.2M tranches) creates binary catalysts; watch for progress updates on those milestones.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
RGTI ▲ +5.47% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.47% · α vs SPY -5.97% · entry $15.16 → $15.99
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+14 -5.79% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 9, 07:59 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.73%
call -0.73% · α +0.13%
$15.27
settled 22d ago
T+5d
+5.47%
call -5.47% · α -5.97%
$15.99
settled 16d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5d
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CEO Subodh Kulkarni and CFO Jeffrey Bertelsen sold a combined $2.26M in RGTI stock over a 7-day window, with the CEO's sale ($1.88M) occurring just one day after the company announced a $100M CHIPS Act award. The CEO also exercised 300,000 options at de minimis cost, but the open-market sale of 120,000 shares at $15.68 represents material monetization. The cluster represents 0.04% of the $5.1B market cap, falling below the 0.1% proportionality threshold for materiality, but the timing—immediately following a major government contract—raises signaling concerns. Historical calibration shows prior bullish calls on RGTI have been net negative at T+20 (-7.64% avg), and the score-7 observedP is only 41%, warranting a conservative score.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$2.3M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • CEO Kulkarni sold 120,000 shares at $15.68 for $1.88M on 9/9/2026, one day after the $100M CHIPS Act award was announced
  • CFO Bertelsen sold 25,000 shares at $15.00 for $375K on 9/3/2026
  • CEO also exercised 300,000 options (150K at $0.96, 150K at $0) for $144,570 total cost
  • Total cluster value of $2.26M represents 0.04% of $5.1B market cap—below the 0.1% materiality threshold
  • The CHIPS Act award provides $43.9M upfront with milestone-based tranches of $29.9M and $26.2M

Financial Impact

CEO and CFO sold $2.26M in stock, representing 0.04% of market cap; CEO's sale occurred one day after $100M CHIPS Act award announcement

insider ownershipdilution (7.7M shares issued to Dept of Commerce)

Risk Factors

  • CEO selling after major positive news suggests limited confidence in near-term stock upside
  • 7.7M share issuance to Dept of Commerce at $12.92 creates overhang and dilutes existing holders by ~2.5%
  • CHIPS Act compliance restrictions limit strategic flexibility, including IP and national security constraints
  • Historical T+20 performance on RGTI reports has been net negative (-7.64% avg), suggesting the stock tends to fade after events

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Programming Services
Analyst Consensus
74% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Quantum Computing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RGTI-1789106792821
13 reports for RGTI
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +22.64%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RGTI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.16 $15.99▼ −5.47%▼ −5.97%$15.63 (−3.13%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.81 $15.27▼ −3.42%▼ −2.75%$15.63 (−1.11%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$17.91 $15.59▲ +12.95%▲ +13.43%$15.63 (+12.71%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.07 $16.44▲ +2.33%▲ +1.22%$15.63 (−2.68%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.28 $19.44▼ −8.65%▼ −9.66%$15.63 (−26.53%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.64 $21.28▲ +3.10%▲ +5.33%$15.63 (−24.25%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.63 $20.25▼ −1.87%▼ −2.30%$15.63 (−24.22%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$19.45 $20.64▼ −6.15%▼ −2.71%$15.63 (+19.60%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.62 $26.88▲ +9.18%▲ +7.97%$15.63 (−36.50%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$22.04 $27.03▲ +22.64%▲ +21.04%$15.63 (−29.07%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Sep 11, 2026