8-K ·Filed May 6, 2026

RDW

Redwire Corp
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001819810-26-000060
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The Q1 earnings paired with an ATM offering create a mixed signal: strong operational momentum (revenue, margins, backlog) contrasts with a significant GAAP earnings miss and dilution. Monitor upcoming quarters for cash flow improvement and whether the offering signals distress or opportunistic capital raising. The reaffirmed FY revenue guidance provides a positive anchor.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RDW ▲ +4.78% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +4.78% · α vs SPY +0.95% · entry $9.20 → $9.64
Entry anchored
May 6, 04:32 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.83%
$9.20
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+24.57%
call +24.57% · α +23.06%
$11.46
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+102.39%
call +102.39% · α +99.26%
$18.62
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+4.78%
call +4.78% · α +0.95%
$9.64
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Redwire reported Q1 2026 revenue of $97.0M (+57.9% YoY) but GAAP EPS of -$0.40 missed consensus of -$0.16 by 150%. Net loss widened to $76.5M, including $42.5M in non-recurring equity compensation. Book-to-bill hit 1.92, backlog reached a record $498M, and FY2026 revenue guidance of $450-500M was reaffirmed. A concurrent ATM offering (424B5) was filed, indicating potential capital needs.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.40
est $-0.16 · -150.0%
Revenue
$97.0M
+57.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
$450M-$500M
maintained
Free Cash Flow
-$12.7M
Gross Margin
26.6%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue $96.97M (+57.9% YoY from $61.4M)
  • GAAP diluted EPS -$0.40 vs consensus -$0.16 (150% miss)
  • Net loss of $76.5M includes $42.5M non-recurring equity-based compensation
  • Gross margin improved to 26.6% from 14.7% YoY
  • Book-to-bill ratio of 1.92 (vs 0.92 in Q1 2025)
  • Record contracted backlog of $498.1M (from $411.2M at Dec 2025)
  • FY2026 revenue guidance reaffirmed at $450M-$500M
  • Total liquidity of $175.2M at March 31, 2026
  • Concurrent 424B5 filed for ATM offering on same day

Financial Impact

Large EPS miss and widened net loss offset by strong revenue growth and record backlog. Concurrent ATM offering suggests dilution risk.

epsnet incomerevenuegross marginbacklogbook-to-bill

Risk Factors

  • Sustained GAAP and adjusted EBITDA losses despite revenue growth
  • Dilution from the ATM offering filed simultaneously
  • Potential inability to convert record backlog into profitable revenue
  • Dependence on government contracts and potential budget disruptions

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Space & Satellites

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001819810-26-000060
Document: 0001819810-26-000060-index-headers.html0001819810-26-000060
Document: 0001819810-26-000060-index.html0001819810-26-000060
Document: 0001819810-26-000060.txt0001819810-26-000060
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001819810-26-000060
8 reports for RDW
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +35.17%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.12 $11.23▼ −14.41%▼ −13.49%$10.88 (−17.07%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.09 $10.47▼ −38.74%▼ −40.63%$10.88 (−36.34%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.75 $10.21▲ +35.17%▲ +36.62%$10.88 (+30.92%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.75 $10.21▲ +35.17%▲ +36.62%$10.88 (+30.92%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.91 $14.36▼ −3.24%▼ −2.25%$10.88 (+21.78%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.20 $18.62▲ +102.39%▲ +99.26%$10.88 (+18.26%)
Apr 10, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.99 $12.16▲ +21.72%▲ +13.99%$10.88 (+8.91%)
Feb 26, 2026
31w ago
8-K/A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$9.55 $8.87▼ −7.12%▼ −0.72%$10.88 (+13.93%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 37m)

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