424B5 ·Filed Jun 9, 2026

RDW

Redwire Corp
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001628280-26-041769
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Expect continued downward pressure on RDW as the ATM program allows continuous selling into the market. Monitor daily volume and price action for accelerated selling. The $350M already sold under the prior program suggests aggressive capital needs — watch for use of proceeds toward debt repayment or M&A. The cross-filing context (earnings, restructuring, press) amplifies the bearish signal per actuarial calibration.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RDW ▼ -34.41% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +34.41% · α vs SPY +38.23% · entry $15.75 → $10.33
Entry anchored
Jun 9, 07:52 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.59%
call +5.59% · α +4.01%
$14.87
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-5.84%
call +5.84% · α +8.25%
$14.83
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-35.17%
call +35.17% · α +36.62%
$10.21
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-34.41%
call +34.41% · α +38.23%
$10.33
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Redwire Corp filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement to register an at-the-market (ATM) offering of up to $500 million in common stock, replacing a prior May 2026 ATM agreement under which $350 million had already been sold. The new ATM program, with 11 agents including Truist, J.P. Morgan, and BofA, allows continuous dilution at market prices. Proceeds are for working capital, debt repayment, and potential acquisitions. The filing represents a significant potential dilution event for existing shareholders.

Key Facts

  • New ATM offering of up to $500,000,000 in common stock filed June 9, 2026.
  • Prior May 2026 ATM program terminated after $349,999,993.77 in shares were sold.
  • 238,825,345 shares outstanding as of June 8, 2026; up to 26,925,148 additional shares assumed at $18.57.
  • Agents include Truist, J.P. Morgan, BofA, Texas Capital, A.G.P., B. Riley, Canaccord, H.C. Wainwright, KeyBanc, and Roth Capital.
  • Commission up to 3.0% of gross sales price per share.
  • Proceeds for working capital, debt repayment, and strategic acquisitions.
  • Agents/affiliates are lenders under existing debt; potential conflict of interest under FINRA Rule 5121.
  • Stock closed at $18.57 on June 8, 2026; market cap ~$3.7B.

Financial Impact

Up to $500M in new common stock issuance, representing ~11.3% dilution at current price. Prior $350M already sold under terminated program.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from up to $500M in new shares.
  • Continuous at-the-market sales may depress stock price.
  • Proceeds used for debt repayment to agent-affiliated lenders creates conflict of interest.
  • Prior $350M already sold indicates ongoing capital needs.
  • Material weaknesses in internal controls noted in 2025 10-K.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Space & Satellites

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-041769
Document: 0001628280-26-041769-index.html0001628280-26-041769
Document: 0001628280-26-041769.txt0001628280-26-041769
8 reports for RDW
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +35.17%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.12 $11.23▼ −14.41%▼ −13.49%$10.88 (−17.07%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.09 $10.47▼ −38.74%▼ −40.63%$10.88 (−36.34%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.75 $10.21▲ +35.17%▲ +36.62%$10.88 (+30.92%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.75 $10.21▲ +35.17%▲ +36.62%$10.88 (+30.92%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.91 $14.36▼ −3.24%▼ −2.25%$10.88 (+21.78%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.20 $18.62▲ +102.39%▲ +99.26%$10.88 (+18.26%)
Apr 10, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.99 $12.16▲ +21.72%▲ +13.99%$10.88 (+8.91%)
Feb 26, 2026
31w ago
8-K/A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$9.55 $8.87▼ −7.12%▼ −0.72%$10.88 (+13.93%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 36m)

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