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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 26, 2026

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp YoY declines in revenue, net income, and loan volume, combined with guidance for another ~50% earnings drop, signal sustained regulatory and macro pressure. Monitor Q2 2026 actuals for delinquency trends and any stabilization in loan volumes; the convertible note repurchase provides some balance sheet support but does not offset fundamental deterioration.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
QFIN ▼ -27.26% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +27.26% · α vs SPY +29.13% · entry $15.74 → $11.45
Entry = T+0 close
May 26, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.35%
call +2.35% · α +2.90%
$15.37
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+5.21%
call -5.21% · α -4.00%
$16.56
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-4.64%
call +4.64% · α +2.74%
$15.01
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-27.26%
call +27.26% · α +29.13%
$11.45
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Qfin Holdings reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of RMB7.16 (US$1.04) on total net revenue of RMB3,909.3M (US$566.7M), down 16.7% YoY. Revenue and net income both declined sharply YoY, with loan facilitation volume falling 26.8%. The company guided Q2 2026 non-GAAP net income of RMB900-980M, representing a 47-51% YoY decline, reflecting persistent regulatory and macro headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.04
est $6.39 · -83.7%
Revenue
$566.7M
est $4.0B · -85.9% · -16.7% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Total net revenue RMB3,909.3M, down 16.7% YoY from RMB4,690.7M
  • GAAP net income RMB879.8M, down 51.0% YoY from RMB1,796.6M
  • Non-GAAP net income RMB945.9M, down 50.9% YoY from RMB1,926.2M
  • Loan facilitation volume RMB65,034M, down 26.8% YoY
  • Q2 2026 guidance: non-GAAP net income RMB900-980M, implying 47-51% YoY decline
  • Provision for loans receivable surged 50% YoY to RMB1,234.7M
  • Company repurchased ~US$577M of convertible notes for US$502M, reducing debt
  • 90 day+ delinquency rate stable at 3.50% as of March 31, 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue declined 16.7% YoY; net income halved; guidance implies continued 50%+ earnings decline in Q2 2026

revenuenet incomeloan volumeprovision expenses

Risk Factors

  • Continued regulatory tightening in China's consumer credit market
  • Further loan volume contraction and asset quality deterioration
  • Potential for additional provision charges if delinquency rates rise
  • Macroeconomic weakness in China reducing consumer credit demand

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3301561
15 reports for QFIN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +20.00%Aug 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for QFIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.05 $6.76▲ +4.11%▲ +3.93%$5.57 (+20.99%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.48 $7.30▼ −2.41%▼ −2.95%$5.57 (−25.53%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.93 $7.87▼ −0.76%▼ −0.74%$5.57 (−29.76%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $9.17▲ +1.93%▲ +2.58%$5.57 (+40.43%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $9.17▲ +1.93%▲ +2.58%$5.57 (+40.43%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.49 $12.27▼ −1.76%▼ −1.56%$5.57 (−55.40%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.49 $12.27▼ −1.76%▼ −1.56%$5.57 (−55.40%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $16.37▲ +3.54%▲ +3.68%$5.57 (−64.77%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $16.37▲ +3.54%▲ +3.68%$5.57 (−64.77%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.83 $15.00▲ +1.15%▼ −0.55%$5.57 (−62.44%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 36m)

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Report published May 26, 2026