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6-K ·Filed Aug 25, 2026

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-100792
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp revenue and earnings decline, combined with weak Q3 guidance, is a clear negative signal. Traders should monitor the Q3 2026 earnings release for further deterioration in loan volumes and credit quality. The dividend provides a modest yield but does not offset the fundamental headwinds.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
QFIN ▼ -20.00% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.00% · α vs SPY +20.23% · entry $9.35 → $7.48
Next anchor: T+60d in 23d
Latest observation: T+41 +15.36% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.93%
call +1.93% · α +2.58%
$9.17
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-8.56%
call +8.56% · α +8.44%
$8.55
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-20.00%
call +20.00% · α +20.23%
$7.48
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 23d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Qfin Holdings reported Q2 2026 results with total net revenue of RMB3.57B (down 31.6% YoY) and net income of RMB401.4M (down 76.8% YoY), driven by industry contraction, tighter regulation, and a ~RMB500M non-recurring tax charge. The company guided Q3 2026 net income between RMB360M and RMB460M, implying a 67%-73% YoY decline. A semi-annual dividend of US$0.46/ADS was declared, and a new independent director was appointed. The sharp revenue and earnings decline, combined with weak guidance, signals significant operational headwinds.

Key Facts

  • Total net revenue for Q2 2026 was RMB3,566.6M, down 31.6% from RMB5,215.9M in Q2 2025.
  • Net income was RMB401.4M, down 76.8% from RMB1,730.5M in Q2 2025.
  • Non-GAAP net income was RMB454.9M, down 75.4% from RMB1,849.0M in Q2 2025.
  • Total loan facilitation and origination volume was RMB63,377M, down 25.1% YoY.
  • 90+ day delinquency rate rose to 2.83% as of June 30, 2026, from 2.71% as of December 31, 2025 (per prior 20-F).
  • The company accrued a non-recurring tax-related expense of approximately RMB500M in Q2.
  • Q3 2026 guidance: net income between RMB360M and RMB460M, representing a 67%-73% YoY decline.
  • Semi-annual dividend of US$0.23 per Class A ordinary share (US$0.46 per ADS) declared.
  • Prof. Dong Lou appointed as independent director effective August 25, 2026.
  • As of August 25, 2026, the company had repurchased ~5.6M ADSs for ~US$234M at an average price of US$41.8 per ADS.

Financial Impact

Net income declined 76.8% YoY to RMB401.4M; Q3 guidance implies a 67%-73% YoY decline. Revenue fell 31.6% YoY. A ~RMB500M non-recurring tax charge impacted the quarter.

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Risk Factors

  • Continued industry contraction and tighter regulatory oversight in China's credit-tech sector.
  • Rising delinquency rates (90+ day at 2.83%) and potential further credit deterioration.
  • Q3 guidance implies a significant year-over-year earnings decline of 67%-73%, indicating ongoing pressure.
  • The ~RMB500M non-recurring tax charge highlights regulatory/tax uncertainty.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
84% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-100792
Document: 0001104659-26-100792-index-headers.html0001104659-26-100792
Document: 0001104659-26-100792-index.html0001104659-26-100792
Document: 0001104659-26-100792.txt0001104659-26-100792
15 reports for QFIN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +27.26%May 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for QFIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.05 $6.76▲ +4.11%▲ +3.93%$5.57 (+20.92%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.48 $7.30▼ −2.41%▼ −2.95%$5.57 (−25.47%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.93 $7.87▼ −0.76%▼ −0.74%$5.57 (−29.70%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $9.17▲ +1.93%▲ +2.58%$5.57 (+40.37%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $9.17▲ +1.93%▲ +2.58%$5.57 (+40.37%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.49 $12.27▼ −1.76%▼ −1.56%$5.57 (−55.36%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.49 $12.27▼ −1.76%▼ −1.56%$5.57 (−55.36%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $16.37▲ +3.54%▲ +3.68%$5.57 (−64.74%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $16.37▲ +3.54%▲ +3.68%$5.57 (−64.74%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.83 $15.00▲ +1.15%▼ −0.55%$5.57 (−62.41%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published Aug 25, 2026