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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 25, 2026

QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Q3 guidance for a 67-73% YoY decline in non-GAAP net income signals accelerating deterioration in the core business amid regulatory and liquidity headwinds. The ~RMB500M one-time tax charge is non-recurring but does not offset the fundamental decline. Traders should watch for further industry consolidation and potential credit quality deterioration in coming quarters.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
QFIN ▼ -20.00% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.00% · α vs SPY +20.23% · entry $9.35 → $7.48
Next anchor: T+60d in 22d
Latest observation: T+41 +15.36% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.93%
call +1.93% · α +2.58%
$9.17
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-8.56%
call +8.56% · α +8.44%
$8.55
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-20.00%
call +20.00% · α +20.23%
$7.48
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 22d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Qfin Holdings reported Q2 2026 results with total net revenue of RMB3.57B ($525.6M), down 31.6% YoY from RMB5.22B, and GAAP net income of RMB401.4M ($59.2M), down 76.8% YoY from RMB1.73B. The company guided Q3 2026 non-GAAP net income between RMB400M and RMB500M, implying a 67%-73% YoY decline, citing industry contraction, tighter regulation, and a liquidity shock. A non-recurring ~RMB500M tax expense weighed on the quarter, but the underlying operational deterioration is severe with loan volume down 25% YoY and rising provisions.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.28
est $7.07 · -53.6%
Revenue
$3.6B
est $3.8B · -5.4% · -31.6% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Total net revenue RMB3.57B, down 31.6% YoY from RMB5.22B
  • GAAP net income RMB401.4M, down 76.8% YoY from RMB1.73B
  • Non-GAAP net income RMB454.9M, down 75.4% YoY from RMB1.85B
  • Loan facilitation volume RMB63.4B, down 25.1% YoY from RMB84.6B
  • Q3 2026 guidance: non-GAAP net income RMB400-500M, implying 67%-73% YoY decline
  • Non-recurring ~RMB500M tax expense booked in Q2
  • Provision for loans receivable RMB931.5M, up 20.4% YoY from RMB773.8M
  • Semi-annual dividend of US$0.46 per ADS declared
  • Share repurchases total ~US$234M at avg US$41.8/ADS under March 2025 plan

Financial Impact

Revenue down 31.6% YoY, net income down 76.8% YoY, Q3 guidance implies 67-73% YoY decline in non-GAAP net income

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Risk Factors

  • Continued regulatory tightening in Chinese credit-tech sector
  • Industry-wide liquidity constraints pressuring funding and loan volumes
  • Rising provision costs as delinquency rates may increase
  • Macroeconomic headwinds in China reducing consumer credit demand

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
84% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3350952
15 reports for QFIN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +27.26%May 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for QFIN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.05 $5.57▲ +20.99%▲ +20.96%$5.26 (+25.39%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.48 $5.47▼ −26.87%▼ −26.45%$5.26 (−29.68%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.93 $5.58▼ −29.63%▼ −28.73%$5.26 (−33.67%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $7.48▲ +20.00%▲ +20.23%$5.26 (+43.74%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.35 $7.48▲ +20.00%▲ +20.23%$5.26 (+43.74%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.49 $8.47▼ −32.19%▼ −30.44%$5.26 (−57.89%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.49 $8.47▼ −32.19%▼ −30.44%$5.26 (−57.89%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $13.56▼ −14.23%▼ −13.20%$5.26 (−66.73%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.81 $13.56▼ −14.23%▼ −13.20%$5.26 (−66.73%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.83 $14.88▲ +0.34%▼ −3.29%$5.26 (−64.53%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 41m)

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Report published Aug 25, 2026