SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Mar 30, 2026

PROP

Prairie Operating Co.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago SEC0001140361-26-012029
earnings-rerun-backfill
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor 2026 production ramp and EBITDA delivery against guidance; strong operational execution and capital efficiency suggest potential for upward revisions.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PROP ▼ -67.49% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -67.49% · α vs SPY -79.87% · entry $2.03 → $0.6600
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+11.33%
call +11.33% · α +10.58%
$2.26
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+3.45%
call +3.45% · α -0.50%
$2.10
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-42.38%
call -42.38% · α -51.80%
$1.17
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-67.49%
call -67.49% · α -79.87%
$0.6600
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Prairie Operating Co. reported full-year 2025 results with revenue of $241.6 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $155.5 million, a 975% year-over-year increase driven by the Bayswater acquisition and production growth. The company initiated 2026 guidance with Adjusted EBITDA of $240–260 million and exited 2025 at 28,000 Boe/d production.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.32
est $0.31 · +3.2%
Revenue
$241.6M
est $117.0M · +106.5% · +2998.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $241.6 million in 2025 (3,000% YoY growth), including $315 million pro forma for Bayswater acquisition
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $155.5 million (975% YoY growth), with pro forma EBITDA of $220 million
  • Initiated 2026 guidance: Adjusted EBITDA of $240–260 million, production of 25,500–27,500 Boe/d
  • Exited 2025 at 28,000 net Boe/d production, up from 23,029 Boe/d in Q3
  • Capital expenditures of $183.4 million, ~35% below midpoint of 2025 guidance

Financial Impact

Revenue up 3,000% YoY to $241.6M, Adjusted EBITDA up 975% to $155.5M, with 2026 EBITDA guidance of $240–260M

revenueebitdaproductioncapex

Risk Factors

  • Net loss of $60.9 million in 2025 despite EBITDA growth
  • Heavy reliance on acquisitions (Bayswater) for growth

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-012029
Document: ef20068429_8k.htm0001140361-26-012029
Document: 0001140361-26-012029-index-headers.html0001140361-26-012029
Document: 0001140361-26-012029-index.html0001140361-26-012029
Document: 0001140361-26-012029.txt0001140361-26-012029
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001140361-26-012029
22 reports for PROP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +71.04%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PROP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.4002 $0.4210▲ +5.20%▲ +6.38%$0.3380 (−15.54%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5090 $0.4679▼ −8.07%▼ −7.93%$0.3380 (−33.60%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8150 $0.7100▼ −12.88%▼ −12.84%$0.3380 (−58.53%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8153 $0.7002▼ −14.12%▼ −11.72%$0.3380 (−58.54%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7290 $0.7175▲ +1.58%▲ +1.02%$0.3380 (+53.64%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3380 (−58.23%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3380 (−58.23%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 52m)

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Report published Apr 21, 2026