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8-K ·Filed Aug 17, 2026

PROP

Prairie Operating Co.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001140361-26-033264
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The dramatic covenant relief and introduction of a production covenant are classic signs of a company in distress. The first production test on August 31, 2026 is a critical binary event. Monitor for any pre-announcement of a production miss before that date. The bi-weekly cash flow reporting starting August 28 provides a window into the company's liquidity trajectory. The extended penny warrant to High Trail creates massive potential dilution (3M shares at $0.01) if the Anniversary Warrants are not issued, adding further overhang.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
PROP ▼ -40.42% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +40.42% · α vs SPY +38.90% · entry $0.7100 → $0.4230
Next anchor: T+60d in 15d
Latest observation: T+48 +42.61% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-13.03%
call +13.03% · α +12.35%
$0.6175
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-28.01%
call +28.01% · α +26.82%
$0.5111
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-40.42%
call +40.42% · α +38.90%
$0.4230
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 15d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Prairie Operating Co. entered into a Third Amendment to its credit agreement that significantly relaxes its current ratio covenant (dropping to 0.40:1.00 for Q3 2026 from 1.00:1.00) and introduces a new minimum hydrocarbon production covenant first tested on August 31, 2026. Simultaneously, the company extended a warrant issuance date to High Trail and obtained a limited waiver of a separate current ratio covenant tied to its Series F Convertible Preferred Stock, with the waiver conditioned on meeting the same reduced current ratio thresholds. The combination of covenant relief, new production requirements, and a warrant extension signals the company is under significant operational and liquidity pressure, making this a bearish filing for common equity holders.

Key Facts

  • The credit agreement's current ratio covenant was reduced from 1.00:1.00 to 0.50:1.00 for Q2 2026, 0.40:1.00 for Q3 2026, and 0.60:1.00 for Q4 2026.
  • A new minimum hydrocarbon production covenant was added, with the first test on August 31, 2026 requiring a minimum of 660,550.54 BOE over a rolling three-month period.
  • The company must deliver a 13-week cash flow budget and detailed accounts payable aging reports bi-weekly starting August 28, 2026.
  • A warrant to purchase 3,000,000 shares at $0.01/share (Second Penny Warrant) was extended to August 31, 2026, contingent on the non-issuance of Anniversary Warrants.
  • High Trail waived the company's obligation to maintain a current ratio covenant under the Series F Preferred Stock Certificate of Designation until December 31, 2026, conditioned on the same reduced current ratio thresholds.

Financial Impact

Covenant relief and new production requirements indicate severe liquidity and operational stress. The company's current ratio was allowed to fall to 0.40:1.00, meaning current liabilities exceed current assets by 2.5x. Failure to meet the new production covenant would trigger an event of default.

current ratioliquidityhydrocarbon production volumesdebt covenant compliance

Risk Factors

  • Failure to meet the minimum production covenant on August 31, 2026 could trigger an event of default under the credit agreement.
  • The company's current ratio is allowed to drop as low as 0.40:1.00, indicating a severe liquidity crunch.
  • Potential issuance of a 3,000,000-share penny warrant to High Trail creates significant future dilution risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-033264
Document: ef20080297_8k.htm0001140361-26-033264
Document: 0001140361-26-033264-index-headers.html0001140361-26-033264
Document: 0001140361-26-033264-index.html0001140361-26-033264
Document: 0001140361-26-033264.txt0001140361-26-033264
22 reports for PROP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +71.04%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PROP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.4002 $0.4210▲ +5.20%▲ +6.38%$0.3381 (−15.52%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5090 $0.4679▼ −8.07%▼ −7.93%$0.3381 (−33.58%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3381 (+52.38%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3381 (+52.38%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3381 (+52.38%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8150 $0.7100▼ −12.88%▼ −12.84%$0.3381 (−58.52%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8153 $0.7002▼ −14.12%▼ −11.72%$0.3381 (−58.53%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7290 $0.7175▲ +1.58%▲ +1.02%$0.3381 (+53.62%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3381 (−58.22%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3381 (−58.22%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 17, 2026