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8-K ·Filed Apr 9, 2026

PROP

Prairie Operating Co.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC0001140361-26-013932
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The penny warrants create significant near-term dilution risk and registration overhang. The stock is likely to face pressure as the market prices in the dilutive impact of these warrants. Monitor for any exercise activity and registration filing deadlines.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PROP ▼ -43.01% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +43.01% · α vs SPY +53.80% · entry $1.38 → $0.7864
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.35%
call -4.35% · α -4.41%
$1.44
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-5.07%
call +5.07% · α +8.26%
$1.31
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-23.91%
call +23.91% · α +31.48%
$1.05
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-43.01%
call +43.01% · α +53.80%
$0.7864
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Prairie Operating Co. repurchased $19M of preferred stock from Hudson Bay and issued a 'penny warrant' for 4M common shares at $0.01/share as part of a restructuring deal. The move avoids a $3M fee but significantly dilutes shareholders through low-exercise-price warrants and future registration obligations.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$19.0M
Offering Size
$2.4M
Dilution
2.48%

Key Facts

  • Company repurchased 13,727 shares of Series F Preferred Stock from Hudson Bay for $18,999,047.64 in cash
  • Issued First Penny Warrant to purchase 4M common shares at $0.01/share, immediately exercisable
  • Agreed to issue Second Penny Warrant for 3M shares if anniversary warrants aren't issued by July 8, 2026
  • Hudson Bay waived $3M extension fee as part of the agreement
  • Company must file registration statement within 30 days for warrant shares and faces 1% daily penalty for failures

Financial Impact

The $19M preferred stock repurchase reduces debt-like obligations, but the penny warrants represent massive potential dilution. At current market prices, the 4M warrants represent ~$2.4M in immediate dilution potential.

dilutiondebtequity

Risk Factors

  • Significant shareholder dilution from low-exercise-price warrants
  • Registration failure penalties of 1% of affected shares daily
  • Potential for additional warrant issuance if anniversary warrants aren't issued by July 8, 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-013932
Document: ef20070147_ex4-1.htm0001140361-26-013932
Document: ef20070147_ex4-2.htm0001140361-26-013932
Document: ef20070147_8k.htm0001140361-26-013932
Document: 0001140361-26-013932-index-headers.html0001140361-26-013932
Document: 0001140361-26-013932-index.html0001140361-26-013932
Document: 0001140361-26-013932.txt0001140361-26-013932
22 reports for PROP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +71.04%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PROP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$0.4002 $0.4210▲ +5.20%▲ +6.38%$0.3380 (−15.54%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5090 $0.4679▼ −8.07%▼ −7.93%$0.3380 (−33.60%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7100 $0.5111▲ +28.01%▲ +26.82%$0.3380 (+52.39%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8150 $0.7100▼ −12.88%▼ −12.84%$0.3380 (−58.53%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.8153 $0.7002▼ −14.12%▼ −11.72%$0.3380 (−58.54%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7290 $0.7175▲ +1.58%▲ +1.02%$0.3380 (+53.64%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3380 (−58.23%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8092 $0.6582▼ −18.66%▼ −19.09%$0.3380 (−58.23%)
Showing 10 of 22

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Report published Apr 9, 2026