Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Mar 5, 2026

PGR

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $775K total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for further insider selling, especially from top executives, and check for any upcoming earnings warnings or operational changes. While the dollar amount is small relative to market cap, the involvement of a business unit president raises concern.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PGR ▼ -8.42% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +8.42% · α vs SPY +19.72% · entry $210.39 → $192.67
Entry anchored
Mar 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.05%
call -0.05% · α -1.36%
$210.49
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-2.61%
call +2.61% · α +0.37%
$204.90
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-7.36%
call +7.36% · α +3.57%
$194.90
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-8.42%
call +8.42% · α +19.72%
$192.67
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Two Progressive Corp executives sold shares in a coordinated 7-day window, including Commercial Lines President Karen Bailo selling $745,604 worth of stock. Both transactions were open-market sales at $212 per share, totaling $775,496 in combined value.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$775.5K
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Commercial Lines President Karen Bailo sold 3,517 shares for $745,604 in an open-market transaction.
  • Chief Accounting Officer Joyce Carl sold 141 shares for $29,892, also in an open-market sale.
  • Total insider selling in cluster: $775,496 over 7 days.
  • Sales represent 0.0006% of Progressive's $123.4B market cap — modest in scale but notable given C-suite participation.

Financial Impact

$775,496 in open-market insider sales over 7 days

insider sentimentshareholder confidence

Risk Factors

  • Potential signal of weakening confidence in near-term performance by senior executives.
  • Risk of negative perception among investors if selling trend continues ahead of earnings.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CONTEXT: Insider Cluster Data (2 trades, 7d window)cluster-PGR-1773076119564
25 reports for PGR
Performance horizon
88% Hit rate 7 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +14.05%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$223.92 $206.94▼ −7.58%▼ −8.90%$210.32 (−6.08%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$217.27 $216.29▼ −0.45%▲ +1.50%$210.32 (−3.20%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$219.99 $222.51▲ +1.15%▼ −3.87%$210.32 (−4.40%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▲ +1.17%▼ −2.21%$210.32 (−4.19%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▼ −1.17%▲ +2.21%$210.32 (+4.19%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$205.22 $207.35▲ +1.04%▼ −1.31%$210.32 (+2.48%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$205.22 $207.35▼ −1.04%▲ +1.31%$210.32 (−2.48%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$210.32 (−9.43%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$210.32 (−9.43%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$215.54 $207.07▼ −3.93%▼ −4.46%$210.32 (−2.42%)
Showing 10 of 25

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 6h 25m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access
Report published Mar 9, 2026