Insider Cluster (5 insiders) ·Filed Jul 28, 2026

PGR

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 5 insiders, $12.2M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The selling is trivial relative to market cap and likely reflects routine post-earnings diversification by executives after a strong quarter. Monitor for any additional insider sales in the coming weeks, but this cluster alone does not warrant a bearish stance on Progressive.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
PGR ▲ +1.17% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +1.17% · α vs SPY -2.21% · entry $219.52 → $222.09
Next anchor: T+60d in 19d
Latest observation: T+45 -6.60% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:13 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.21%
call +0.21% · α +1.75%
$219.99
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-4.13%
call -4.13% · α -6.40%
$210.46
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+1.17%
call +1.17% · α -2.21%
$222.09
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 19d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A cluster of five Progressive insiders, including the CEO and Claims President, sold a total of $12.18M in open-market shares on July 27, 2026, just two weeks after the company reported a strong Q2 2026 earnings beat. The CEO alone sold $7.94M. While the earnings were bullish, the concentrated selling by top executives following a strong quarter raises a cautionary signal, though the total value is only ~0.01% of Progressive's $126B market cap, making it trivial in proportional terms.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$12.2M
Insiders
5

Key Facts

  • CEO Susan Patricia Griffith sold 37,338 shares for $7.94M on July 27, 2026.
  • Claims President John Jo Murphy sold 8,124 shares for $1.73M on July 27, 2026.
  • Commercial Lines President Karen Bailo sold 8,452 shares for $1.80M on July 27, 2026.
  • Chief Investment Officer Jonathan S. Bauer sold 2,242 shares for $477K on July 27, 2026.
  • Total open-market sales of $12.18M represent ~0.01% of Progressive's $126.1B market cap.
  • The cluster occurred 14 days after Progressive reported Q2 2026 EPS of $5.67, beating consensus by 23.8%.
  • Non-cash grants and tax-withholding transactions (totaling $0 in economic value) also occurred on July 24, 2026, but are not part of the selling cluster.

Financial Impact

Total insider open-market sales of $12.18M, representing ~0.01% of market cap

insider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling could accelerate if executives continue to reduce positions
  • The strong Q2 earnings beat may already be priced in, limiting near-term upside

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
42% bullish (31 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-PGR-1785312765105
25 reports for PGR
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +14.05%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$223.92 $206.94▼ −7.58%▼ −8.90%$208.11 (−7.06%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$217.27 $216.29▼ −0.45%▲ +1.50%$208.11 (−4.22%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$219.99 $222.51▲ +1.15%▼ −3.87%$208.11 (−5.40%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▲ +1.17%▼ −2.21%$208.11 (−5.20%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▼ −1.17%▲ +2.21%$208.11 (+5.20%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$205.22 $207.35▲ +1.04%▼ −1.31%$208.11 (+1.41%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$205.22 $207.35▼ −1.04%▲ +1.31%$208.11 (−1.41%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$208.11 (−10.38%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$208.11 (−10.38%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$215.54 $207.07▼ −3.93%▼ −4.46%$208.11 (−3.45%)
Showing 10 of 25

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Report published Jul 29, 2026