PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 18, 2026

PGR

Progressive Casualty Insurance Company
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Traders should monitor whether the 10% growth in policies in force can translate into sustained premium growth without further deterioration in the combined ratio. The modest earnings growth and widening loss ratio may limit upside despite top-line strength.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
PGR ▲ +0.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +0.60% · α vs SPY -10.92% · entry $201.05 → $202.26
Entry anchored
Mar 17, 04:01 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.70%
call +0.70% · α +0.97%
$202.46
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+0.87%
call +0.87% · α +1.59%
$202.81
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+0.96%
call +0.96% · α -5.09%
$202.98
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+0.60%
call +0.60% · α -10.92%
$202.26
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Progressive Casualty Insurance Company reported February 2026 results with net premiums earned up 8% year-over-year to $6.53 billion and net income up 2% to $943 million. The combined ratio worsened by 3.1 points to 85.7, indicating margin pressure despite strong growth in policies in force, which increased 10% overall.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$6.5B
+8.0% YoY
EPS
$1.61

Key Facts

  • Net premiums earned increased 8% YoY to $6.53 billion in February 2026.
  • Net income rose 2% to $943 million, with EPS up to $1.61 from $1.58.
  • Combined ratio deteriorated to 85.7 from 82.6 in the prior year, a 3.1-point increase.
  • Policies in force grew 10% overall, driven by strong growth in personal lines (10%) and commercial lines (3%).
  • Total pretax net realized gains on securities improved to a loss of $5 million vs. a loss of $110 million in February 2025.

Financial Impact

Revenue (net premiums earned) increased by $492 million YoY; net income added $15 million. Deteriorating underwriting profitability as combined ratio expanded 3.1 points.

revenuenet_incomeepsunderwriting_profitability

Risk Factors

  • Deteriorating underwriting margins as combined ratio rises toward 86%, suggesting potential pricing pressure or higher claims costs.
  • Limited earnings leverage — revenue grew 8% but net income only 2%, indicating cost or reserve pressures.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3258141
25 reports for PGR
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +14.05%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$223.92 $206.94▼ −7.58%▼ −8.90%$209.14 (−6.60%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$217.27 $216.29▼ −0.45%▲ +1.50%$209.14 (−3.74%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$219.99 $222.51▲ +1.15%▼ −3.87%$209.14 (−4.93%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▲ +1.17%▼ −2.21%$209.14 (−4.73%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$219.52 $222.09▼ −1.17%▲ +2.21%$209.14 (+4.73%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$205.22 $207.35▲ +1.04%▼ −1.31%$209.14 (+1.91%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$205.22 $207.35▼ −1.04%▲ +1.31%$209.14 (−1.91%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$209.14 (−9.94%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$232.22 $213.28▼ −8.16%▼ −7.74%$209.14 (−9.94%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$215.54 $207.07▼ −3.93%▼ −4.46%$209.14 (−2.97%)
Showing 10 of 25

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Report published Mar 18, 2026