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DFAN14A ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

PAG

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed11d 9h ago SEC0001193125-26-422302
Proxy fight materials (activist)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The $212/share offer represents a premium to the pre-proposal trading level. Watch for the preliminary proxy statement and Schedule 13E-3 filing for the special meeting date and the fairness opinion details. The key risk is regulatory approval timing, but the deal is not financing-contingent, lowering execution risk.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
PAG ▲ +0.05% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.05% · α vs SPY +1.07% · entry $212.00 → $212.11
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Latest observation: T+6 -2.37% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.20%
call +0.20% · α +1.30%
$212.42
settled 10d ago
T+5d
+0.05%
call +0.05% · α +1.07%
$212.11
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. and Penske Corporation have signed a definitive merger agreement to take Penske Automotive Group private at $212 per share, valuing the equity at approximately $13.9 billion. The transaction will buy out the ~27.7% free-float for $3.9 billion in cash, funded by $2.2 billion in equity commitments from the sponsors and third-party debt. Completion is expected in the last quarter of FY March 2027, subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals.

Key Financial Metrics

Vote
merger approval

Key Facts

  • Merger consideration of $212 per share in cash for all free-float shares of PAG common stock.
  • Implied aggregate equity value of approximately $13.9 billion based on fully diluted shares outstanding as of September 30, 2026.
  • Total estimated transaction cost for the PC-Mitsui Investors is $3.9 billion (585 billion yen).
  • Mitsui & Co., Ltd. committed up to $1.6 billion (240 billion yen) and Penske Corporation committed up to $600 million (90 billion yen) in equity financing.
  • Following completion, Penske Corporation's ownership will increase from ~52.1% to ~64%, and Mitsui's from ~20.3% to ~36%.
  • The merger is not subject to a financing condition.
  • Transaction expected to close in the last quarter of FY March 2027.
  • PAG's Board of Directors (with affiliated directors recused) approved the merger following a special committee recommendation.

Financial Impact

$3.9 billion cash consideration for ~18.3 million free-float shares at $212/share; $13.9 billion total equity value

equity valuecash considerationownership structure

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain required stockholder approval (majority of outstanding shares and majority of disinterested stockholders).
  • Regulatory approval delays or denial (antitrust, CFIUS).
  • Potential stockholder litigation challenging the going-private transaction.
  • Market or business deterioration between signing and closing that could lead to renegotiation or termination.

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DFAN14A Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-422302
Document: d439820ddfan14a.htm0001193125-26-422302
Document: 0001193125-26-422302-index-headers.html0001193125-26-422302
Document: 0001193125-26-422302-index.html0001193125-26-422302
Document: 0001193125-26-422302.txt0001193125-26-422302
14 reports for PAG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +0.20%Oct 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PAG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$212.00 $212.32▲ +0.15%▲ +0.30%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.42 $212.33▼ −0.04%▼ −0.14%$212.09 (−0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$216.66 $216.21▼ −0.21%▲ +0.20%$212.09 (−2.11%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 57m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026