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8-K ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

PAG

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed11d 10h ago SEC0001140361-26-039664
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The merger creates a near-certain cash-out event for public shareholders at $212.00/share. The key catalysts to watch are stockholder vote (requires majority of outstanding shares plus majority of disinterested shares) and HSR clearance. The 12-month outside date provides ample time, but any material adverse change or regulatory roadblock could delay or derail the deal. Monitor for competing bids during the go-shop period and any appraisal rights actions.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
PAG ▲ +0.05% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.05% · α vs SPY +1.07% · entry $212.00 → $212.11
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Latest observation: T+6 -2.37% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.20%
call +0.20% · α +1.30%
$212.42
settled 10d ago
T+5d
+0.05%
call +0.05% · α +1.07%
$212.11
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Penske Automotive Group has entered into a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by Motown Acquisition Corp. (an entity formed by Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co.) for $212.00 per share in cash, representing a take-private transaction valued at approximately $13.9 billion based on shares outstanding. The deal is financed through a combination of $2.2 billion in equity commitments from the Penske and Mitsui investor groups and up to $2.4 billion in increased revolving credit facility commitments, including a $400 million overadvance facility. The transaction requires stockholder approval and regulatory clearances, with a termination fee of $383 million payable by the company under certain circumstances.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$13.9B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Merger consideration of $212.00 per share in cash, representing a premium to the unaffected stock price
  • Equity commitments of at least $2.2 billion from Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co. investor groups
  • Revolving credit facility increased by up to $900 million to $2.4 billion, including $400 million overadvance commitment
  • Special Committee of independent directors unanimously approved the transaction and deemed it fair to unaffiliated stockholders
  • Moelis & Company delivered a fairness opinion to the Special Committee
  • Company termination fee of $383 million; buyer termination fee of $488 million
  • Transaction expected to close by October 15, 2027, subject to stockholder approval, HSR clearance, and other conditions
  • Existing Penske and Mitsui shareholders (Investor Group Members) holding Excluded Shares will retain their equity in the surviving corporation

Financial Impact

All-cash take-private at $212.00/share; equity financing of at least $2.2B; debt financing up to $2.4B in revolving credit

stock priceenterprise valuecapital structuredilution

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain stockholder approval (requires both majority of outstanding shares and majority of disinterested shares)
  • Regulatory delays or antitrust challenges (HSR and other required regulatory approvals)
  • Financing failure if equity commitments or debt commitments are not funded
  • Adverse recommendation change or superior proposal during the solicitation period
  • Appraisal rights litigation by dissenting stockholders

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-039664
Document: ef20083688_ex4-1.htm0001140361-26-039664
14 reports for PAG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +0.20%Oct 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PAG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$212.00 $212.32▲ +0.15%▲ +0.30%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.42 $212.33▼ −0.04%▼ −0.14%$212.09 (−0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.09 (+0.04%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$216.66 $216.21▼ −0.21%▲ +0.20%$212.09 (−2.11%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 57m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026