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DEFA14A ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

PAG

PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed12d 7h ago SEC0001140361-26-039665
Proxy solicitation materials
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for the proxy statement filing and stockholder meeting timeline. The $212.00 per share price represents a significant premium to the unaffected price, and the deal is fully financed with committed equity and debt. Key risks are regulatory (HSR, CFIUS) and stockholder approval, but the investor group's ~30%+ stake and support agreements make approval likely. Monitor for any competing bids during the go-shop period.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
PAG ▲ +0.05% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.05% · α vs SPY +1.07% · entry $212.00 → $212.11
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 -2.37% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.20%
call +0.20% · α +1.30%
$212.42
settled 11d ago
T+5d
+0.05%
call +0.05% · α +1.07%
$212.11
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Penske Automotive Group (PAG) filed a DEFA14A attaching the definitive Agreement and Plan of Merger with Motown Acquisition Corp., a newly formed entity backed by Penske Corporation and Mitsui & Co. Under the deal, each share of PAG common stock (excluding shares held by the investor group) will be converted into the right to receive $212.00 per share in cash. The transaction is valued at approximately $212.00 per share for the public float, with the investor group rolling over their existing stakes. The merger is subject to stockholder approval, regulatory clearances, and other customary conditions, with an outside date of October 15, 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

Vote
merger approval

Key Facts

  • PAG entered into a definitive merger agreement with Motown Acquisition Corp. on October 15, 2026.
  • Public shareholders (excluding the Penske/Mitsui investor group) will receive $212.00 per share in cash.
  • The investor group (Penske Corporation, Penske Automotive Holdings Corp., Mitsui & Co., Mitsui USA) will roll over their shares as Excluded Shares.
  • A special committee of independent directors unanimously approved the deal and recommended it to shareholders.
  • The merger is conditioned on approval by a majority of outstanding shares and a majority of disinterested shares.
  • Buyer has secured equity commitment letters from Penske and Mitsui totaling at least $2.2 billion, and a debt commitment letter for the remainder.
  • The company's credit agreement has been amended to permit the transaction and increase revolving commitments by up to $900 million (including a $400 million overadvance facility), contingent on closing.
  • A termination fee of $383 million is payable by PAG under certain circumstances (e.g., accepting a superior proposal); a $488 million fee is payable by Buyer if it fails to close.
  • The outside date for closing is October 15, 2027.

Financial Impact

$212.00 per share cash consideration for public shareholders; total equity commitment of at least $2.2 billion from Penske and Mitsui; debt financing of up to $1.8 billion via bridge facility or permanent notes; credit facility increased by up to $900 million.

share priceenterprise valuedebtequity

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory delays or denial under HSR Act, CFIUS, or other antitrust/FDI laws.
  • Stockholder litigation challenging the deal or the special committee process.
  • Failure to obtain stockholder approval (though investor group support makes this unlikely).
  • Financing failure if debt markets deteriorate before closing.
  • Material adverse change in PAG's business permitting Buyer to terminate.

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-039665
Document: ef20083688_ex4-1.htm0001140361-26-039665
14 reports for PAG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +0.20%Oct 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PAG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$212.00 $212.32▲ +0.15%▲ +0.30%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.42 $212.33▼ −0.04%▼ −0.14%$212.34 (−0.04%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$212.00 $212.11▲ +0.05%▲ +1.07%$212.34 (+0.16%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$216.66 $216.21▼ −0.21%▲ +0.20%$212.34 (−1.99%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Oct 15, 2026