8-K ·Filed Apr 27, 2026

ONCY

ONCOLYTICS BIOTECH INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001129928-26-000026
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor for protocol finalization and trial initiation, which could catalyze partnership interest and revaluation. Positive trial results could lead to accelerated approval with substantial commercial upside in a niche but high-need indication.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ONCY ▼ -14.68% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.68% · α vs SPY -19.46% · entry $0.9700 → $0.8276
Entry anchored
Apr 27, 08:11 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-7.22%
call -7.22% · α -6.73%
$0.9000
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.12%
call -4.12% · α -4.52%
$0.9300
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-16.46%
call -16.46% · α -21.42%
$0.8103
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-14.68%
call -14.68% · α -19.46%
$0.8276
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Oncolytics Biotech announced alignment with the FDA on a randomized controlled pivotal trial design for pelareorep in metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCAC), a rare cancer with no approved therapies post-first-line treatment. The study leverages strong prior data showing improved duration of response and survival versus standard of care.

Key Facts

  • FDA alignment achieved on pivotal randomized controlled trial for pelareorep in metastatic SCAC
  • Study targets post-standard-of-care population with no FDA-approved options
  • Prior data showed 15.5 vs 9.5 month median duration of response and 82% vs 45.7% 12-month survival vs standard of care
  • Trial design may support both accelerated and full approval
  • Pelareorep already has Fast Track designation for colorectal and pancreatic cancers

Financial Impact

Significant potential value creation if trial succeeds, given unmet need in rare cancer and potential for dual approval pathway

R&D spendregulatory approval timelinepartnership potentialmarket valuation

Risk Factors

  • Clinical trial execution risk in a rare cancer population
  • Regulatory requirements may evolve despite current alignment
  • Dependence on successful enrollment and funding for trial completion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001129928-26-000026
Document: scacfdaalignment.htm0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026-index-headers.html0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026-index.html0001129928-26-000026
Document: 0001129928-26-000026.txt0001129928-26-000026
15 reports for ONCY
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 6 of 8 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +10.53%Apr 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ONCY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7720 $0.7700▼ −0.26%▲ +0.24%$0.6310 (−18.26%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.8500 $0.8122▼ −4.45%▼ −4.02%$0.6310 (−25.76%)
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9289 $0.8533▼ −8.14%▼ −7.35%$0.6310 (−32.07%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.9495 $0.9409▼ −0.91%▲ +1.33%$0.6310 (−33.54%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9300 $0.8100▼ −12.90%▼ −9.94%$0.6310 (−32.15%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.06 $0.8400▼ −20.75%▼ −18.00%$0.6310 (−40.47%)
May 22, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8100 $1.06▲ +30.86%▲ +29.19%$0.6310 (−22.10%)
May 22, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.8100 $1.06▲ +30.86%▲ +29.19%$0.6310 (−22.10%)
Apr 27, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.9700 $0.9300▼ −4.12%▼ −4.52%$0.6310 (−34.95%)
Apr 6, 2026
25w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9000 $1.02▼ −13.33%▼ −8.00%$0.6310 (+29.89%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 32m)

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