Institutional Cluster

OLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 2 buyers, 4 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The heavy selling by Norges Bank (full exit) and Wellington (51% trim) suggests institutional conviction is weakening despite strong analyst consensus. Monitor upcoming earnings for any guidance revision or margin pressure that could validate the selling. The Morgan Stanley add provides some support, but the net direction is clearly distributing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
OLLI ▼ -8.47% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +8.47% · α vs SPY +12.87% · entry $83.65 → $76.57
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 10:10 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.48%
call +0.48% · α +1.02%
$83.25
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-7.39%
call +7.39% · α +7.82%
$77.47
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-23.83%
call +23.83% · α +25.72%
$63.72
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-8.47%
call +8.47% · α +12.87%
$76.57
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

An institutional cluster in OLLI shows net selling pressure of ~$159M, with 4 sellers (including a full exit by Norges Bank and a 51% trim by Wellington) outweighing 2 buyers (Morgan Stanley adding $54M, T. Rowe Price a small add). The cluster is dominated by passive/sovereign funds, weakening the signal, but the magnitude of selling is notable given the stock's 86% analyst bullish consensus.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$119.7M
Sell Value
$213.8M
Net Flow
-$159.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$159.4M

▲ Buyers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyADD+88.2%$119.6M$54.4M
T. Rowe PriceADD+25.4%$59.0K$11.0K

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Norges BankEXIT-100%$83.6M-$83.6M
Wellington Management GroupTRIM-51.1%$163.5M-$85.6M
Capital GroupTRIM-35.5%$92.8M-$34.5M
Ubs Am, A Distinct Business UnTRIM-32.4%$29.4M-$10.0M

Key Facts

  • Net institutional selling of ~$159M (sellers reduced by $213.8M, buyers added $54.4M)
  • Norges Bank fully exited a $83.6M position (100% of shares sold)
  • Wellington Management trimmed 51.1% of its stake, reducing value by $85.6M
  • Capital Group trimmed 35.5%, reducing value by $34.5M
  • Morgan Stanley added $54.4M (+88.2% shares), the only significant buyer
  • T. Rowe Price added a token $11K (+25.4% shares)

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$159M, with 4 sellers reducing holdings by $213.8M and 2 buyers adding $54.4M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Further institutional selling pressure if the thesis deteriorates
  • Contrarian risk: the cluster may have been unwound already given 45-day 13F lag
  • Passive/sovereign fund dominance reduces signal quality

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Variety Stores
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-OLLI-2025-Q3
10 reports for OLLI
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +6.92%Aug 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OLLI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$73.54 $87.91▲ +19.53%▲ +19.69%—
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$79.39 $76.20▲ +4.02%▲ +2.07%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$83.65 $63.72▲ +23.83%▲ +25.72%—
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.61 $75.51▼ −5.14%▼ −4.02%—
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$79.61 $75.51▼ −5.14%▼ −4.02%—
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.13 $80.64▼ −5.27%▼ −10.54%—
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.31 $81.78▼ −15.96%▼ −24.51%—
Mar 27, 2026
26w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$89.83 $88.76▼ −1.19%▼ −13.79%—
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$104.19 $89.44▼ −14.16%▼ −16.13%—
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$104.19 $89.44▼ −14.16%▼ −16.13%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026