8-K ·Filed Jun 3, 2026

OLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001140361-26-023811
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The EPS beat and raised guidance are positive signals, but the slight revenue miss and decelerating comp store sales (1.7% vs 2.6%) warrant monitoring. The strong gross margin expansion and aggressive buyback support the bullish case. Watch for consumer spending trends and tariff impacts in subsequent quarters.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
OLLI ▼ -10.47% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -10.47% · α vs SPY -12.70% · entry $79.61 → $71.27
Entry anchored
Jun 3, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-6.92%
call -6.92% · α -7.32%
$74.09
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-1.64%
call -1.64% · α +2.18%
$78.30
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-5.14%
call -5.14% · α -4.02%
$75.51
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-10.47%
call -10.47% · α -12.70%
$71.27
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet reported Q1 FY2026 results with EPS of $0.92, beating the $0.87 consensus by 5.7%, and revenue of $658.9M slightly below the $662.3M estimate. The company raised its FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.45-$4.55 from $4.40-$4.50, driven by strong gross margin expansion and disciplined cost control, though comparable store sales growth slowed to 1.7% from 2.6% a year ago.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.92
est $0.87 · +5.8%
Revenue
$658.9M
est $662.3M · -0.5% · +14.2% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$2.980B-$3.000B
raised
Gross Margin
41.9%

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.92 vs consensus $0.87 (beat by 5.7%)
  • Revenue of $658.9M (+14.2% YoY) slightly below $662.3M consensus (miss by 0.5%)
  • Comparable store sales growth of 1.7% vs 2.6% in prior year quarter
  • Gross margin expanded 80 bps YoY to 41.9%, above expectations
  • FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $4.45-$4.55 from $4.40-$4.50
  • Opened 27 new stores in Q1, ending with 672 stores (+15.1% YoY)
  • Repurchased $53.4M of stock in Q1; $205.4M remaining under authorization
  • Total cash and investments of $525.6M, up 26.7% YoY

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.05 vs consensus on 14.2% revenue growth; guidance raised by $0.05-$0.05 at midpoint

epsrevenuegross marginguidance

Risk Factors

  • Revenue slightly below consensus despite strong EPS beat
  • Comparable store sales growth decelerated to 1.7% from 2.6% a year ago
  • Tariff and macroeconomic pressures cited in forward-looking statements
  • Historical model performance on OLLI shows negative T+20 returns despite bullish calls

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Variety Stores
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-023811
Document: ef20075441_8k.htm0001140361-26-023811
Document: 0001140361-26-023811-index-headers.html0001140361-26-023811
Document: 0001140361-26-023811-index.html0001140361-26-023811
Document: 0001140361-26-023811.txt0001140361-26-023811
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001140361-26-023811
10 reports for OLLI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +23.83%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for OLLI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$73.54 $87.91▲ +19.53%▲ +19.69%$87.85 (+19.45%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$79.39 $76.20▲ +4.02%▲ +2.07%$87.85 (−10.66%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$83.65 $63.72▲ +23.83%▲ +25.72%$87.85 (−5.02%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.61 $75.51▼ −5.14%▼ −4.02%$87.85 (+10.36%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$79.61 $75.51▼ −5.14%▼ −4.02%$87.85 (+10.36%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.13 $80.64▼ −5.27%▼ −10.54%$87.85 (+3.19%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.31 $81.78▼ −15.96%▼ −24.51%$87.85 (−9.73%)
Mar 27, 2026
26w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$89.83 $88.76▼ −1.19%▼ −13.79%$87.85 (−2.21%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$104.19 $89.44▼ −14.16%▼ −16.13%$87.85 (−15.69%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$104.19 $89.44▼ −14.16%▼ −16.13%$87.85 (−15.69%)
Showing 10 of 10

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