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Institutional Cluster

NLY

ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster indicates a split between accumulators (sovereign/quant) and sellers (quant/asset managers). Monitor NLY's upcoming earnings and interest rate outlook. Norges Bank's new position is a strong long-term endorsement; RenTech's near-exit signals caution on mortgage REIT headwinds. Note the 45-day 13F disclosure lag — current positions may differ.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NLY ▲ +3.63% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +3.63% · α vs SPY -0.76% · entry $22.01 → $22.81
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.05%
call -0.05% · α -0.59%
$22.00
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+0.68%
call +0.68% · α +0.25%
$22.16
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+3.27%
call +3.27% · α +1.38%
$22.73
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+3.63%
call +3.63% · α -0.76%
$22.81
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster for Q4 2025 shows $300.5M in new buying led by Norges Bank ($162.5M new position) and D.E. Shaw ($66.1M addition), partially offset by $63.9M in reductions including a near-full exit by Renaissance Technologies. Net directional buying of ~$237M suggests institutional confidence in Annaly Capital amid interest rate expectations, though RenTech's exit introduces caution.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$489.9M
Sell Value
$115.9M
Net Flow
$236.6M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $236.6M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges BankNEW+100%$162.5M$162.5M
D.E. ShawADD+64%$147.3M$66.1M
Two SigmaNEW+100%$13.6M$13.6M
Morgan StanleyADD+33.5%$156.0M$50.4M
Franklin ResourcesDOUBLED+196.7%$10.4M$7.9M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Renaissance TechnologiesNEAR_EXIT-90.2%$53.5M-$47.7M
Wellington Management GroupTRIM-34%$20.1M-$5.4M
Ameriprise FinancialTRIM-32.7%$42.3M-$10.8M

Key Facts

  • Norges Bank established a new $162.5M position (7.27M shares)
  • D.E. Shaw added 64% to its stake, now worth $147.3M
  • Two Sigma initiated a $13.6M position
  • Morgan Stanley increased holdings by 33.5% to $156.0M
  • Renaissance Technologies exited 90.2% of its position, leaving $5.8M
  • Net institutional buying of approximately $236.6M across 5 buyers and 3 sellers

Financial Impact

Institutional accumulation of approximately $300.5M in new investments versus $63.9M in reductions, resulting in net buying of roughly $236.6M.

institutional flowpositioning

Risk Factors

  • Interest rate volatility impacting mortgage REIT valuations
  • Mortgage spread widening or credit losses
  • 13F disclosure lag — cluster may have been partially unwound

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-NLY-2025-Q4
9 reports for NLY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +0.88%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.43awaiting T+60——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60——
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.70awaiting T+60——
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$22.01 $22.81▲ +3.63%▼ −0.76%—
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▼ −0.46%▼ −5.24%—
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%—
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%—
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 40m

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Report published Jun 11, 2026