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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

NLY

ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6d 4h ago SEC0001043219-26-000077
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp book value decline and GAAP loss reflect severe fixed-income market volatility, but EAD continues to cover the dividend. Watch the Q4 earnings call for commentary on portfolio repositioning and whether the ATM issuance pace slows given the stock's discount to book.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
NLY ▲ +1.83% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.83% · α vs SPY -3.01% · entry $18.01 → $18.34
Next anchor: T+5d in 12h
Latest observation: T+2 -0.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.83%
call -1.83% · α -3.01%
$18.34
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 12h
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Annaly Capital Management reported Q3 2026 EAD of $0.80 per share, modestly above the $0.79 consensus, but GAAP net loss was ($1.36) per share due to large unrealized mark-to-market losses on its investment portfolio amid a challenging fixed-income environment. Book value per share fell 11.4% sequentially to $17.86, and GAAP leverage increased to 8.0x, while the company announced the redemption of its $442.5M Series I preferred stock and raised $757M in ATM equity.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.80
est $0.79 · +1.3%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • GAAP net loss of ($1.36) per common share vs. prior quarter income of $1.06
  • EAD of $0.80 per share vs. consensus $0.79 (1.6% beat)
  • Book value per share fell to $17.86 from $20.15 in Q2 2026 (-11.4%)
  • Economic return of -7.6% for the quarter
  • GAAP leverage increased to 8.0x from 7.4x; economic leverage to 5.9x from 5.6x
  • Declared quarterly common dividend of $0.75 per share, up from $0.70 year-ago
  • Announced redemption of all outstanding $442.5M Series I preferred stock (post-quarter)
  • Raised $757M of accretive capital via ATM program
  • Net interest margin (GAAP) improved to 1.54% from 1.47% QoQ
  • Hedge ratio increased to 100% from 97% in Q2

Financial Impact

Book value per share declined 11.4% QoQ; GAAP net loss of ($1.36) per share vs. $1.06 gain in Q2; EAD per share modestly beat consensus by $0.01

book value per shareGAAP net incomeEADleveragedividend

Risk Factors

  • Further fixed-income market volatility could pressure book value and GAAP earnings
  • Increased leverage (8.0x GAAP) amplifies downside risk in adverse rate/macro scenarios
  • ATM equity issuance dilutes existing shareholders despite being labeled 'accretive'
  • Preferred stock redemption reduces equity cushion but signals confidence in capital structure

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001043219-26-000077
Document: nly-20261020.htm0001043219-26-000077
Document: 0001043219-26-000077-index-headers.html0001043219-26-000077
Document: 0001043219-26-000077-index.html0001043219-26-000077
Document: 0001043219-26-000077.txt0001043219-26-000077
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001043219-26-000077
9 reports for NLY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +0.88%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.43awaiting T+60—$18.35 (−0.43%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.35 (−1.89%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.35 (−1.89%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.35 (−1.89%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.70awaiting T+60—$18.35 (−1.87%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$22.01 $22.81▲ +3.63%▼ −0.76%$18.35 (−16.63%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▼ −0.46%▼ −5.24%$18.35 (−29.45%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%$18.35 (+29.45%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%$18.35 (+29.45%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 4m)

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Report published Oct 20, 2026