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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

NLY

ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6d 18h ago SEC0001043219-26-000078
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp book value decline and increased leverage signal heightened sensitivity to interest rate and MBS spread movements. Monitor the Q4 earnings call for hedging strategy updates and any changes to the dividend policy, as the current $0.75 payout exceeds EAD per share of $0.80 on an annualized basis.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
NLY ▲ +1.83% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.83% · α vs SPY -3.01% · entry $18.01 → $18.34
Next anchor: T+5d due 3h ago
Latest observation: T+2 -0.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.83%
call -1.83% · α -3.01%
$18.34
settled 6d ago
T+5d
Pending
due 3h ago
T+20d
Pending
in 21d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Annaly Capital Management filed its Q3 2026 financial supplement, reporting a GAAP net loss of $1.36 per share (vs. +$1.06 in Q2) driven by large unrealized mark-to-market losses on its investment portfolio, while core earnings available for distribution (EAD) per share improved slightly to $0.80 from $0.79. Book value per share fell sharply to $17.86 from $20.15, a decline of 11.4%, reflecting the impact of rising rates and spread widening on the agency MBS portfolio. The dividend was maintained at $0.75 per common share.

Key Facts

  • GAAP net loss per share of ($1.36) vs. income of $1.06 in Q2 2026
  • Book value per share fell to $17.86 from $20.15, a decline of 11.4%
  • Earnings available for distribution (EAD) per share was $0.80, up from $0.79
  • Dividend maintained at $0.75 per common share
  • GAAP leverage increased to 8.0x from 7.4x; economic leverage rose to 5.9x from 5.6x
  • Net interest margin (GAAP) improved to 1.54% from 1.47%
  • Total investment portfolio grew to $140.5 billion from $139.2 billion
  • Common shares outstanding increased to 784.7 million from 750.6 million

Financial Impact

Book value per share declined by $2.29 (11.4%) quarter-over-quarter, driven by $4.7 billion in net unrealized losses on investments. GAAP net loss attributable to common stockholders was $1.04 billion.

book value per shareGAAP net incomeleverage ratiosnet interest margin

Risk Factors

  • Further rate increases or MBS spread widening could pressure book value and leverage ratios
  • Dividend sustainability risk if EAD does not grow or if book value continues to decline
  • Increased leverage amplifies portfolio losses in adverse rate environments

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001043219-26-000078
Document: nly-20261020.htm0001043219-26-000078
Document: 0001043219-26-000078-index-headers.html0001043219-26-000078
Document: 0001043219-26-000078-index.html0001043219-26-000078
Document: 0001043219-26-000078.txt0001043219-26-000078
9 reports for NLY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +0.88%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.43awaiting T+60—$18.24 (−1.06%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.24 (−1.25%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.24 (−1.25%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.01awaiting T+60—$18.24 (−1.25%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.70awaiting T+60—$18.24 (−2.49%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$22.01 $22.81▲ +3.63%▼ −0.76%$18.24 (−17.15%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▼ −0.46%▼ −5.24%$18.24 (−29.89%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%$18.24 (+29.89%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$26.01 $25.89▲ +0.46%▲ +5.24%$18.24 (+29.89%)
Showing 9 of 9

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Report published Oct 20, 2026