8-K ·Filed Jun 24, 2026

MS

MORGAN STANLEY
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0000950103-26-009448
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The 15% dividend hike and $20B buyback authorization signal strong capital generation and management confidence in forward earnings. With a CET1 ratio of 15.1% versus an 11.8% regulatory floor, MS has ample capacity to execute both capital return programs. Traders should watch for the actual pace of buyback execution in Q3 and any commentary on earnings trends during the next earnings call.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MS ▼ -8.35% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -8.35% · α vs SPY -12.08% · entry $221.04 → $202.58
Entry anchored
Jun 24, 04:13 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.08%
call -4.08% · α -3.35%
$212.03
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.15%
call -4.15% · α -5.71%
$211.86
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-2.65%
call -2.65% · α -3.18%
$215.18
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-8.35%
call -8.35% · α -12.08%
$202.58
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Morgan Stanley announced a 15% increase in its quarterly common stock dividend to $1.15 per share (from $1.00) and the reauthorization of a $20 billion multi-year share repurchase program with no expiration date, both beginning in Q3 2026. The Federal Reserve's 2026 stress test results did not impact the company's Stress Capital Buffer (SCB) requirement of 4.3%, which remains in place until at least October 1, 2027. The firm's CET1 ratio stood at 15.1% as of March 31, 2026, well above the aggregate regulatory requirement of 11.8%.

Key Facts

  • Quarterly common stock dividend increased 15% to $1.15 per share from $1.00, starting in Q3 2026.
  • Board reauthorized a $20 billion multi-year common equity share repurchase program with no set expiration date, beginning in Q3 2026.
  • Federal Reserve's 2026 stress test results had no impact on Morgan Stanley's Stress Capital Buffer (SCB) requirement.
  • Current SCB requirement of 4.3% remains in effect until at least October 1, 2027.
  • Firm's CET1 ratio was 15.1% as of March 31, 2026, versus an aggregate regulatory requirement of 11.8%.

Financial Impact

Dividend increase of $0.15 per share quarterly; $20 billion share repurchase authorization; no change to SCB requirement of 4.3%

dividend yieldshare countcapital return

Risk Factors

  • Buyback execution is discretionary and subject to market conditions and capital position.
  • SCB requirement may increase after the 2027 stress test, potentially constraining future capital return.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to economic and earnings uncertainty.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (32 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000950103-26-009448
Document: dp248866_ex9901.htm0000950103-26-009448
Document: 0000950103-26-009448-index-headers.html0000950103-26-009448
Document: 0000950103-26-009448-index.html0000950103-26-009448
Document: 0000950103-26-009448.txt0000950103-26-009448
9 reports for MS
Performance horizon
0% Hit rate 0 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▼ −0.37%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$217.36 $206.58▼ −4.96%▼ −2.97%$189.96 (−12.61%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
13F-HR
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$218.38 $214.38▼ −1.83%▼ −0.08%$189.96 (−13.01%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$215.50 $217.30▲ +0.83%▼ −3.61%$189.96 (−11.85%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$228.55 $217.64▼ −4.77%▼ −7.12%$189.96 (−16.88%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$221.04 $215.18▼ −2.65%▼ −3.18%$189.96 (−14.06%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$211.93 $222.10▲ +4.80%▲ +2.94%$189.96 (−10.37%)
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$186.67 $193.83▲ +3.84%▼ −1.98%$189.96 (+1.76%)
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$186.67 $193.83▲ +3.84%▼ −1.98%$189.96 (+1.76%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$20.63 $20.43▼ −0.95%▼ −7.00%$189.96 (+820.93%)
Showing 9 of 9

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