8-K ·Filed Jul 15, 2026

MS

MORGAN STANLEY
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0000895421-26-000207
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and increased capital return program (buyback + dividend hike) provide a clear catalyst for near-term upside. Watch for analyst estimate revisions and the Q3 2026 capital allocation trajectory. The continued momentum in Institutional Securities and Wealth Management fee-based flows supports the earnings power story.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MS ▼ -4.77% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -4.77% · α vs SPY -7.12% · entry $228.55 → $217.64
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+54 -27.08% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 15, 05:23 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.45%
call -4.45% · α -3.91%
$218.37
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-4.40%
call -4.40% · α -3.42%
$218.50
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-4.77%
call -4.77% · α -7.12%
$217.64
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Morgan Stanley reported Q2 2026 record net revenues of $21.3B (+27% YoY) and record EPS of $3.46, beating consensus by 18% on both lines. The beat was driven by strength across Institutional Securities (record revenues of $11.0B), Wealth Management (record revenues of $8.9B with $148B in net new assets), and Investment Management. The board also authorized a $20B multi-year buyback and raised the quarterly dividend by 15 cents to $1.15.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.46
est $2.93 · +18.1%
Revenue
$21.3B
est $19.6B · +8.6% · +27.1% YoY
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Record net revenues of $21.3B, up 27% YoY ($16.8B in Q2 2025)
  • Record diluted EPS of $3.46, up 62% YoY ($2.13 in Q2 2025) and 18% above consensus of $2.93
  • ROTCE of 26.6% vs 18.2% a year ago
  • Institutional Securities record net revenues of $11.0B, Investment Banking up 58% YoY
  • Wealth Management record net revenues of $8.9B, net new assets of $148.1B (up 150% YoY)
  • Board reauthorized $20B multi-year share repurchase program starting Q3 2026
  • Quarterly dividend increased by $0.15 to $1.15 per share
  • Expense efficiency ratio improved to 65% from 71% a year ago

Financial Impact

EPS beat consensus by $0.53 (18.1%), revenue beat by $1.7B (8.6%). $20B buyback authorization and $0.15 dividend increase augment capital return.

revenueepsroecapital_returnsefficiency_ratio

Risk Factors

  • Market volatility or slowdown in investment banking activity could reverse trend
  • Regulatory capital requirements (CET1 ratio declined to 14.8% from 15.0% a year ago) may constrain further buyback pace
  • Rising deposit costs (2.60% period-end vs 2.51% Q1) could pressure net interest income

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (32 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000895421-26-000207
Document: a2q26msearningsrelease.htm0000895421-26-000207
Document: ms-20260715.htm0000895421-26-000207
Document: 0000895421-26-000207-index-headers.html0000895421-26-000207
Document: 0000895421-26-000207-index.html0000895421-26-000207
Document: 0000895421-26-000207.txt0000895421-26-000207
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000895421-26-000207
9 reports for MS
Performance horizon
0% Hit rate 0 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▼ −0.37%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$217.36 $206.58▼ −4.96%▼ −2.97%$189.96 (−12.61%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
13F-HR
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$218.38 $214.38▼ −1.83%▼ −0.08%$189.96 (−13.01%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$215.50 $217.30▲ +0.83%▼ −3.61%$189.96 (−11.85%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$228.55 $217.64▼ −4.77%▼ −7.12%$189.96 (−16.88%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$221.04 $215.18▼ −2.65%▼ −3.18%$189.96 (−14.06%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$211.93 $222.10▲ +4.80%▲ +2.94%$189.96 (−10.37%)
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$186.67 $193.83▲ +3.84%▼ −1.98%$189.96 (+1.76%)
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$186.67 $193.83▲ +3.84%▼ −1.98%$189.96 (+1.76%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$20.63 $20.43▼ −0.95%▼ −7.00%$189.96 (+820.93%)
Showing 9 of 9

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