Institutional Cluster

MRNA

Moderna, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong buying from high-conviction investors like RenTech and sovereign wealth fund Norges Bank, combined with Fidelity's aggressive doubling, suggests growing optimism about MRNA's post-pandemic pipeline or valuation reset. Traders should monitor upcoming clinical trial updates or partnerships as potential catalysts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MRNA ▼ -10.96% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -10.96% · α vs SPY -20.29% · entry $52.82 → $47.03
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 04:41 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.93%
call -5.93% · α -5.01%
$49.69
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+5.51%
call +5.51% · α +6.72%
$55.73
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-8.82%
call -8.82% · α -0.88%
$48.16
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-10.96%
call -10.96% · α -20.29%
$47.03
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major institutions — Fidelity, Norges Bank, and RenTech — significantly increased or initiated positions in Moderna (MRNA) during 2025-Q4, collectively adding over $605M in net new exposure. This buying was partially offset by a modest trim from BofA, which reduced its stake by $17.7M. The cluster suggests growing institutional confidence in MRNA despite recent underperformance.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$923.5M
Sell Value
$58.3M
Net Flow
$865.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $865.2M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+127.9%$827.1M$509.2M
Norges BankNEW+0%$79.7M$79.7M
RenTechNEW+0%$16.8M$16.8M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM-39.1%$58.3M-$17.7M

Key Facts

  • Fidelity doubled down on MRNA, increasing its position by 127.9% (15.74M shares) with a $509.2M value increase.
  • Norges Bank and RenTech initiated new positions worth $79.7M and $16.8M, respectively.
  • BofA trimmed its stake by 39.1%, reducing holdings by $17.7M.
  • Net institutional flow: +$588M after accounting for all buyers and sellers.

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $605.7M in net new positions while 1 reduced holdings by $17.7M, resulting in a net positive flow of $588M.

market_capfloat_demandinstitutional_ownership

Risk Factors

  • MRNA remains sensitive to vaccine demand and trial outcomes; any negative data could reverse sentiment.
  • BofA's partial exit may reflect ongoing skepticism about long-term revenue sustainability.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MRNA-2025-Q4
18 reports for MRNA
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +14.15%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MRNA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+5——
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$148.87 $143.97▲ +3.29%▲ +2.14%—
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$140.19 $140.33▼ −0.10%▼ −0.24%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$158.83 $154.27▼ −2.87%▼ −2.33%—
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$174.38 $149.66▼ −14.18%▼ −13.79%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$56.26 $63.67▼ −13.18%▼ −12.83%—
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$54.82 $59.17▲ +7.94%▲ +4.42%—
Jul 10, 2026
11w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$67.01 $61.82▼ −7.75%▼ −6.96%—
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$73.80 $67.44▼ −8.62%▼ −9.48%—
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$63.96 $59.75▼ −6.58%▼ −4.92%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 4m)

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Report published Feb 28, 2026