8-K ·Filed Jun 10, 2026

MOH

MOLINA HEALTHCARE, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001437749-26-020160
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is a material contract win for Molina's Medicaid segment in a large state. Monitor for any protest or legal challenges that could delay the January 1, 2027 go-live, and watch for detailed contract terms (revenue, membership targets) in subsequent regulatory filings or investor updates.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
MOH ▲ +3.84% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.84% · α vs SPY -0.56% · entry $193.20 → $200.61
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.66%
call +3.66% · α +3.12%
$200.28
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+1.21%
call +1.21% · α +0.77%
$195.53
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+20.13%
call +20.13% · α +18.24%
$232.09
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+3.84%
call +3.84% · α -0.56%
$200.61
settled 28d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Molina Healthcare announced that the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services intends to award a HealthChoice Illinois Medicaid Managed Care contract to its subsidiary, Molina Healthcare of Illinois. The contract is expected to begin January 1, 2027, with a term of 4.5 years and an optional extension of up to 5.5 years, making Molina one of six plans serving Illinois's ~3.1M Medicaid beneficiaries.

Key Facts

  • Illinois HFS intends to award a HealthChoice Illinois Medicaid contract to Molina Healthcare of Illinois
  • Go-live date expected January 1, 2027
  • Contract term: 4.5 years, with option to extend up to an additional 5.5 years
  • Molina will be one of six health plans serving Illinois's roughly 3.1 million total Medicaid beneficiaries
  • Announced via press release on June 10, 2026

Financial Impact

No specific contract revenue or margin figures disclosed in the filing. The contract covers a portion of ~3.1M Illinois Medicaid lives, with Molina as one of six plans; impact depends on final member enrollment and premium rates.

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Successful protest or legal action by a competing plan could delay or prevent contract award
  • Delay in start date (January 1, 2027) or shorter contract term than expected
  • Illustrated membership and premium rates may differ from initial expectations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Hospital & Medical Service Plans
Analyst Consensus
29% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-020160
Exhibit: ex_975231.htm0001437749-26-020160
Document: 0001437749-26-020160-index-headers.html0001437749-26-020160
Document: 0001437749-26-020160-index.html0001437749-26-020160
Document: 0001437749-26-020160.txt0001437749-26-020160
9 reports for MOH
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +15.76%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MOH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$194.70 $198.75▲ +2.08%▼ −1.89%$182.55 (−6.24%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$193.20 $232.09▲ +20.13%▲ +18.24%$182.55 (−5.51%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$193.20 $232.09▲ +20.13%▲ +18.24%$182.55 (−5.51%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$184.65 $201.87▲ +9.33%▲ +7.14%$182.55 (−1.13%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$184.46 $203.06▲ +10.08%▲ +10.39%$182.55 (−1.03%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$185.26 $190.86▲ +3.02%▲ +3.00%$182.55 (−1.46%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$172.71 $182.24▼ −5.52%▼ −0.88%$182.55 (−5.70%)
Mar 23, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$141.34 $152.92▲ +8.19%▼ −0.71%$182.55 (+29.16%)
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$152.21 $130.84▼ −14.04%▼ −6.10%$182.55 (+19.94%)
Showing 9 of 9

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