Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 21, 2026

MARA

MARA Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.5M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The CEO, CFO, and GC all selling within a week is a rare cluster that warrants attention despite the small dollar amount. MARA's stock is highly volatile and sensitive to Bitcoin price and equity offering news. Monitor for any upcoming 8-K regarding an at-the-market offering or operational update that could explain the timing. The historical calibration shows past high-score reports on MARA have been wrong 89% of the time at T+20, so avoid over-trading this signal alone.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
MARA ▲ +21.91% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -21.91% · α vs SPY -20.60% · entry $11.18 → $13.63
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 -30.85% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 21, 07:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+5.81%
call -5.81% · α -5.49%
$11.83
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-3.67%
call +3.67% · α +4.14%
$10.77
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+21.91%
call -21.91% · α -20.60%
$13.63
settled 11d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three top insiders at MARA Holdings, including the CEO and CFO, sold a combined $501K in open-market sales over a week. While the dollar amount is modest relative to the $4.3B market cap (0.01%), the cluster involves the entire C-suite (CEO, CFO, GC) selling at prices between $9.21 and $12, which is notable given the stock's extreme volatility and the company's history of dilutive offerings. The historical calibration shows past bullish/neutral reports on MARA have been heavily wrong (11% win rate, -13% avg T+20 alpha), and the score-8 cell has a 25-37% observed P, so a bearish read must be tempered.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$501.0K
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CEO Thiel sold 27,505 shares for $253K at $9.21 on 2026-08-17
  • CFO Khan sold 16,000 shares for $147K at $9.21 on 2026-08-17
  • GC Zabi sold 8,376 shares for $101K at $12.00 on 2026-08-21
  • Total insider sales of $501K represent ~0.01% of $4.3B market cap
  • All three trades are open-market sales (code S), not tax withholding or option exercises

Financial Impact

Three C-suite insiders sold $501K total, or ~0.01% of market cap — below the 0.1% materiality threshold for most companies, but the cluster involves the entire top management team

insider ownershipdilution

Risk Factors

  • Sales may be pre-planned under 10b5-1 plans, reducing informational content
  • MARA's extreme volatility means any signal can be overwhelmed by Bitcoin price moves
  • Past reports on MARA have a very poor track record (11% win rate, -13% avg alpha at T+20)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-MARA-1787353290436
13 reports for MARA
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate 4 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +51.11%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MARA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.18 $13.63▼ −21.91%▼ −20.60%$11.23 (−0.45%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.14 $13.24▼ −18.85%▼ −18.97%$11.23 (−0.81%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.75 $10.23▼ −12.94%▼ −11.70%$11.23 (−4.43%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.25 $8.96▼ −26.86%▼ −29.42%$11.23 (−8.33%)
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.22 $10.65▼ −19.44%▼ −21.68%$11.23 (−15.05%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.54 $12.77▼ −12.17%▼ −13.43%$11.23 (−22.76%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.88 $12.77▼ −8.00%▼ −8.53%$11.23 (−19.09%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.70 $11.67▼ −20.61%▼ −21.77%$11.23 (−23.61%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$13.61 $13.22▼ −2.87%▼ −4.76%$11.23 (−17.49%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$12.16 $14.28▼ −17.43%▼ −12.48%$11.23 (+7.65%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 18m)

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Report published Aug 21, 2026