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8-K ·Filed Sep 25, 2026

MARA

MARA Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0000950142-26-002607
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the outcome of the Texas regulatory audit and MARA's election to proceed after the interconnection study — these are the next binary catalysts for the project's advancement and potential milestone payments.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
MARA ▼ -43.52% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -43.52% · α vs SPY -43.49% · entry $12.11 → $6.84
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.99%
call -0.99% · α -0.81%
$11.99
settled 4w ago
T+5d
-7.76%
call -7.76% · α -8.97%
$11.17
settled 26d ago
T+20d
-43.52%
call -43.52% · α -43.49%
$6.84
settled 5d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MARA Holdings amended its July 2026 agreement to acquire a Texas data center site with 2,000 MW of power capacity. The amendment restructures milestone payments, adds a $100M security deposit posted with the utility, and replaces reconveyance provisions with a third-party sale process if certain triggers occur. The aggregate purchase price remains $600 million if all milestones are achieved.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$600.0M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • MARA posted a $100.0 million security deposit with the electric utility for the 2,000 MW power capacity at the Texas site.
  • The amendment restructures milestone payments tied to regulatory approvals into two installments: upon successful completion of a Texas regulatory audit and upon MARA's election to proceed after the interconnection study.
  • Maximum payments tied to the Site being authorized to receive power were increased.
  • Aggregate purchase price remains $600 million assuming all milestones are achieved.
  • The amendment removes reconveyance provisions and instead provides for a third-party sale process with a right of first offer to the seller if certain trigger events occur.
  • The transaction originally closed on July 2, 2026, with MARA acquiring all membership interests of MAT 1177 LLC.

Financial Impact

$100.0 million security deposit posted; aggregate purchase price unchanged at $600 million if all milestones achieved

cash_flowcapital_expenditure

Risk Factors

  • Failure to pass the Texas regulatory audit could trigger a sale process rather than project development.
  • MARA may elect not to proceed after the interconnection study, leading to a sale of the project rather than development.
  • The $100.0 million security deposit is at risk if MARA withdraws it subject to the sale process terms.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000950142-26-002607
Document: 0000950142-26-002607-index-headers.html0000950142-26-002607
Document: 0000950142-26-002607-index.html0000950142-26-002607
Document: 0000950142-26-002607.txt0000950142-26-002607
15 reports for MARA
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +51.11%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MARA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.11 $11.17▼ −7.76%▼ −8.97%$7.09 (−41.45%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$13.28 $12.11▲ +8.81%▲ +7.79%$7.09 (+46.61%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.18 $10.77▲ +3.67%▲ +4.14%$7.09 (+36.58%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.14 $11.87▼ −6.55%▼ −5.44%$7.09 (+36.36%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.75 $9.68▼ −17.62%▼ −17.52%$7.09 (−39.66%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.25 $11.77▼ −3.92%▼ −2.69%$7.09 (−42.12%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.22 $11.42▼ −13.62%▼ −13.48%$7.09 (−46.37%)
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.54 $12.40▼ −14.72%▼ −16.88%$7.09 (−51.24%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.88 $13.37▼ −3.67%▼ −5.24%$7.09 (−48.92%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.70 $14.03▼ −4.56%▼ −5.57%$7.09 (−51.77%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 44m)

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Report published Sep 25, 2026