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8-K ·Filed Oct 29, 2026

LVWR

LiveWire Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3d 14h ago SEC0001898795-26-000107
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The going concern disclosure and formation of a Special Restructuring Committee signal a high probability of a dilutive capital raise, debt restructuring, or sale of the company. Monitor the 10-Q due Nov 9, 2026 for detailed liquidity analysis and any NYSE listing compliance updates.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d
LVWR ▼ -26.67% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +26.67% · α vs SPY +24.90% · entry $0.9001 → $0.6600
Next anchor: T+5d in 3d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-26.67%
call +26.67% · α +24.90%
$0.6600
settled 3d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 3d
T+20d
Pending
in 25d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

LiveWire reported Q3 2026 revenue of $7.9M (+38% YoY) and a net loss of $18.6M, but the headline event is a going concern disclosure and withdrawal of full-year guidance. Management formed a Special Restructuring Committee and appointed a Chief Restructuring Officer to explore financing, sale, or restructuring alternatives, citing recurring losses, negative cash flow, and limited liquidity. Cash fell to $39.9M from $82.8M at year-end 2025.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.09
Revenue
$7.9M
est $0.00 · +38.0% YoY
Free Cash Flow
-$40.5M

Key Facts

  • Consolidated revenue $7.9M in Q3 2026, up 38% from $5.7M in Q3 2025
  • Net loss $18.6M in Q3 2026 vs $19.4M in Q3 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA negative $14.7M in Q3 2026 vs negative $16.5M in Q3 2025
  • Cash and cash equivalents $39.9M at Sep 30, 2026, down from $82.8M at Dec 31, 2025
  • Management disclosed substantial doubt about going concern within one year
  • Board formed Special Restructuring Committee on Oct 22, 2026, appointed Roy Gallagher as Chief Restructuring Officer
  • Full-year 2026 guidance withdrawn (previously guided operating loss of $70M-$80M)
  • Free cash flow negative $40.5M year-to-date through Sep 30, 2026
  • Shareholders' equity negative $5.5M at Sep 30, 2026 vs positive $46.0M at Dec 31, 2025

Financial Impact

Cash burn of $42.9M year-to-date; shareholders' equity turned negative at $5.5M deficit; full-year guidance withdrawn; going concern risk flagged

revenuecashequityguidance

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
STACYC$5.2M+9.0%
Electric Motorcycles$2.7M+178.0%

Risk Factors

  • Going concern risk: company may not have sufficient liquidity to operate beyond one year
  • Potential significant dilution from any equity or convertible financing
  • Risk of NYSE delisting if market cap or equity continues to deteriorate
  • Debt maturity of related-party term loan in December 2027 with $76.8M outstanding
  • Withdrawn guidance eliminates visibility into near-term financial trajectory

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001898795-26-000107
Document: lvwr-20261029.htm0001898795-26-000107
Document: 0001898795-26-000107-index-headers.html0001898795-26-000107
Document: 0001898795-26-000107-index.html0001898795-26-000107
Document: 0001898795-26-000107.txt0001898795-26-000107
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001898795-26-000107
12 reports for LVWR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +52.12%Jul 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LVWR, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 29, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9001awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$0.6600 (+26.67%)
Oct 26, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.68awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$0.6600 (+60.71%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.24 $1.20▲ +3.23%▲ +2.62%$0.6600 (+46.77%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.42 $1.14▲ +19.72%▲ +18.48%$0.6600 (+53.52%)
Jul 31, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.68 $1.22▼ −27.38%▼ −28.62%$0.6600 (−60.71%)
Jul 31, 2026
13w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.81 $1.35▼ −25.41%▼ −28.40%$0.6600 (−63.54%)
Jul 29, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.59 $1.37▲ +47.10%▲ +52.12%$0.6600 (+74.52%)
Jul 23, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.7700 $1.13▲ +46.75%▲ +43.45%$0.6600 (−14.29%)
Jun 11, 2026
20w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.18 $0.7087▼ −39.94%▼ −41.83%$0.6600 (−44.07%)
May 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
No priceawaiting T+20awaiting T+20No price
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Tue (12h 23m)

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Report published Oct 29, 2026