8-K ·Filed Jun 24, 2026

JPM

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonimmediate Processed3mo ago SEC0001628280-26-045169
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The DFAST results are in line with expectations and provide no new trading catalyst. Monitor the Federal Reserve's own stress test results for potential divergence, but JPM's capital position remains robust. No immediate action warranted.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
JPM ▲ +4.34% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +4.34% · α vs SPY +0.61% · entry $335.12 → $349.67
Entry anchored
Jun 24, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.81%
call -1.81% · α -1.09%
$329.05
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.31%
call -0.31% · α -1.87%
$334.07
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+4.41%
call +4.41% · α +3.88%
$349.90
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+4.34%
call +4.34% · α +0.61%
$349.67
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

JPMorgan Chase released its 2026 Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test (DFAST) results, showing strong capital resilience under the Federal Reserve's severely adverse scenario. The projected minimum Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 12.4% remains well above the 4.5% regulatory minimum, with cumulative pre-provision net revenue of $135.9B and total loan losses of $70.2B over nine quarters. The results are routine and confirm the bank's capital adequacy without any material surprises.

Key Facts

  • Projected minimum CET1 ratio of 12.4% under severely adverse scenario (actual 4Q25: 14.6%)
  • Cumulative pre-provision net revenue of $135.9B over nine quarters
  • Cumulative projected loan losses of $70.2B (5.0% portfolio loss rate)
  • Net income before taxes of $11.4B under stress scenario
  • All capital ratios remain well above regulatory minimums

Financial Impact

No direct financial impact; stress test results confirm capital adequacy with CET1 ratio bottoming at 12.4% vs. 4.5% minimum

capital ratiosloan loss provisions

Risk Factors

  • Hypothetical scenario may not reflect actual future economic conditions
  • Federal Reserve's independent stress test results could differ from company-run results

Market Snapshot

Price
$333.45
Change
-0.2%
Volume
7.6M
Exchange
NYSE
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-045169
Document: a2026_resultsandmethodol.htm0001628280-26-045169
Document: 0001628280-26-045169-index-headers.html0001628280-26-045169
Document: 0001628280-26-045169-index.html0001628280-26-045169
Document: 0001628280-26-045169.txt0001628280-26-045169
68 reports for JPM
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +19.06%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JPM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$356.23 $349.67▼ −1.84%▼ −1.50%$333.32 (−6.43%)
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$353.56 $349.31▼ −1.20%▼ −1.83%$333.32 (−5.72%)
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$354.71 $348.92▼ −1.63%▼ −0.54%$333.32 (−6.03%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$362.06 $356.23▼ −1.61%▼ −0.46%$333.32 (−7.94%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$354.95 $354.71▼ −0.07%▼ −0.15%$333.32 (−6.09%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$356.02 $353.51▼ −0.70%▼ −0.56%$333.32 (−6.38%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$356.02 $353.51▼ −0.70%▼ −0.56%$333.32 (−6.38%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$354.22 $362.06▲ +2.21%▲ +1.94%$333.32 (−5.90%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$356.50 $356.22▼ −0.08%▲ +0.04%$333.32 (−6.50%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$357.26 $356.54▼ −0.20%▲ +0.18%$333.32 (−6.70%)
Showing 10 of 68

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