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8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

JPM

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed14d 22h ago SEC0001628280-26-065582
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and sharp pullback in buybacks signal a more cautious capital posture despite solid underlying business trends. Monitor the Q4 2026 earnings call for CET1 trajectory and any update on the Apple Card portfolio acquisition timeline, which could further pressure capital ratios.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled: T+5d
JPM ▲ +1.16% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.16% · α vs SPY -2.31% · entry $331.43 → $335.26
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Latest observation: T+8 -2.79% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.16%
call -1.16% · α -2.24%
$335.28
settled 14d ago
T+5d
+1.16%
call -1.16% · α -2.31%
$335.26
settled 8d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 13d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

JPMorgan Chase reported Q3 2026 EPS of $5.57 (GAAP), missing the $5.90 consensus by 5.6%, while managed revenue of $50.9B slightly missed the $51.14B estimate. Net income rose 6% YoY to $15.3B, driven by strong CIB Markets revenue (+15%) and CCB (+9%), but the miss vs elevated expectations and a $658M investment securities loss weighed on headline EPS. The CET1 ratio declined to 13.9% (Standardized) from 14.8% a year ago, and share repurchases were sharply reduced to $664M net, signaling capital deployment caution.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$5.57
est $5.90 · -5.6%
Revenue
$50.2B
est $51.1B · -1.9% · +8.0% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $5.57 vs consensus $5.90 (-5.6% miss)
  • Managed revenue of $50.9B (+8% YoY) vs consensus $51.14B
  • Net income $15.3B, up 6% YoY from $14.4B
  • CIB Markets revenue up 15% YoY; Equity Markets up 49%
  • CCB revenue up 9% YoY; Card Services Auto up 15%
  • Investment securities loss of $658M ($0.18 EPS drag)
  • CET1 ratio (Standardized) fell to 13.9% from 14.8% a year ago
  • Common stock net repurchases collapsed to $664M from $8.3B in Q3 2025
  • Dividend raised to $1.65/share from $1.50
  • Average loans +10% YoY, average deposits +8% YoY

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.33 vs consensus; $658M investment securities loss; net repurchases down 92% YoY

epsrevenuecapital_ratiosshare_repurchases

Risk Factors

  • CET1 ratio declining toward regulatory minimums could constrain capital return
  • Net interest income excluding Markets faces headwinds from lower rates
  • AOCI loss ballooned to $19.8B from $5.9B a year ago, pressuring book value
  • Investment securities losses may recur if rates remain elevated

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-065582
Document: a3q26erfexhibit991narrative.htm0001628280-26-065582
Document: jpm-20261013.htm0001628280-26-065582
Document: 0001628280-26-065582-index-headers.html0001628280-26-065582
Document: 0001628280-26-065582-index.html0001628280-26-065582
Document: 0001628280-26-065582.txt0001628280-26-065582
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-065582
86 reports for JPM
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate @ T+20 8 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 12 best @ T+60▲ +20.20%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for JPM, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
2d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$336.89awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (−0.33%)
Oct 22, 2026
6d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$331.58awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+1.27%)
Oct 22, 2026
6d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$331.58awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+1.27%)
Oct 21, 2026
7d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$336.54awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (−0.22%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$335.19awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+0.18%)
Oct 20, 2026
8d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$335.19awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+0.18%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$335.53awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+0.08%)
Oct 14, 2026
14d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$335.53awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+0.08%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$331.43awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (+1.32%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$331.43awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$335.79 (−1.32%)
Showing 10 of 86

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Report published Oct 13, 2026