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S-4 ·Filed Oct 2, 2026

JMSB

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed24d 6h ago SEC0001104659-26-113340
Notable filing: S-4
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor shareholder vote outcomes and regulatory approvals (Federal Reserve, Virginia BFI) as key catalysts for deal completion. The fixed exchange ratio means JMSB's stock price movement directly impacts the deal's value for EFSI shareholders, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
JMSB ▼ -0.30% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -0.30% · α vs SPY -0.73% · entry $23.00 → $22.93
Next anchor: T+20d in 3d
Latest observation: T+14 -1.23% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.39%
call -0.39% · α -0.94%
$22.91
settled 22d ago
T+5d
-0.30%
call -0.30% · α -0.73%
$22.93
settled 18d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 3d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

John Marshall Bancorp (JMSB) filed an S-4 registration statement for its merger with Eagle Financial Services (EFSI), where EFSI shareholders will receive 2.00 JMSB shares per EFSI share in a fixed-exchange-ratio transaction valued at approximately $249.9 million based on JMSB's September 25, 2026 closing price of $23.09. The merger creates a combined community bank with ~$4.3 billion in total assets, and EFSI shareholders are expected to own ~43.4% of the combined entity. The filing is a procedural step to register JMSB shares for issuance and to solicit shareholder votes at special meetings expected in Q1 2027.

Key Facts

  • Fixed exchange ratio of 2.00 JMSB shares per EFSI share; no collar or adjustment for stock price changes.
  • JMSB expects to issue ~10,823,230 shares of common stock to EFSI shareholders in the merger.
  • Implied transaction value of ~$249.9 million based on JMSB's $23.09 closing price on September 25, 2026.
  • Pro forma combined total assets of ~$4.29 billion as of June 30, 2026.
  • EFSI shareholders to own ~43.4% of the combined company; existing JMSB shareholders ~56.6%.
  • Transaction expected to close in Q1 2027, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.
  • Termination fee of $10.1 million payable by either party under certain conditions.
  • Both boards of directors unanimously recommend approval.
  • Piper Sandler and KBW provided fairness opinions to EFSI and JMSB boards, respectively.
  • Transaction structured as a tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a) of the Internal Revenue Code.

Financial Impact

Transaction valued at ~$249.9 million based on JMSB's $23.09 closing price; pro forma combined total assets of ~$4.29 billion; estimated goodwill of ~$61.1 million; estimated nonrecurring merger costs of $24.0 million pre-tax.

dilutiongoodwilltangible book valueearnings per share

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain shareholder or regulatory approvals could delay or terminate the merger.
  • Fixed exchange ratio exposes EFSI shareholders to JMSB stock price fluctuations before closing.
  • Integration risks and potential failure to realize projected cost synergies.
  • Dilution to JMSB's tangible book value per share at close.
  • Regulatory approvals may impose burdensome conditions.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-113340
Document: tm2625851d2_ex10-25.htm0001104659-26-113340
Document: tm2625851d2_ex10-26.htm0001104659-26-113340
Document: tm2625851d2_ex10-27.htm0001104659-26-113340
13 reports for JMSB
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for JMSB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.80awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+2.50%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.01awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+1.56%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.00awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+1.61%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.87awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+2.19%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.58 $22.94▼ −2.71%▼ −7.06%$23.37 (−0.89%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.18 $22.79▲ +2.75%▼ −0.51%$23.37 (+5.37%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$22.18 $22.79▲ +2.75%▼ −0.51%$23.37 (+5.37%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.30 $23.19▲ +8.87%▲ +7.87%$23.37 (+9.72%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.42awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+9.10%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.88 $22.34▲ +6.99%▲ +2.88%$23.37 (+11.93%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 10m)

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Report published Oct 2, 2026