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S-4/A ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

JMSB

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed13d 19h ago SEC0001104659-26-115283
Notable filing: S-4/A
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor shareholder vote outcomes on November 19, 2026, and regulatory approval timeline from the Federal Reserve and Virginia BFI. The fixed exchange ratio means JMSB's stock price movement directly impacts the deal's value for EFSI shareholders.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
JMSB ▼ -0.91% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -0.91% · α vs SPY +0.24% · entry $23.01 → $22.80
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 -0.91% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.48%
call -1.48% · α -0.40%
$22.67
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-0.91%
call -0.91% · α +0.24%
$22.80
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

John Marshall Bancorp (JMSB) filed Amendment No. 1 to its S-4 registration statement for the proposed merger with Eagle Financial Services (EFSI). Under the fixed exchange ratio of 2.00 JMSB shares per EFSI share, JMSB expects to issue approximately 10.8 million shares, giving EFSI shareholders ~43.4% of the combined company. Both companies' special shareholder meetings are scheduled for November 19, 2026, with the merger expected to close in Q1 2027.

Key Facts

  • Fixed exchange ratio of 2.00 JMSB shares per EFSI share
  • JMSB expects to issue ~10,823,230 shares in the merger
  • EFSI shareholders will own ~43.4% of the combined company
  • Shareholder meetings set for November 19, 2026
  • Merger expected to close in Q1 2027
  • Implied value of merger consideration was $46.72 per EFSI share based on JMSB's Sept 4, 2026 closing price of $23.36
  • Termination fee of $10,100,000 payable by either party under certain conditions
  • Both boards unanimously recommend approval

Financial Impact

Pro forma combined entity with ~$4.29 billion in total assets and ~$504.7 million in shareholders' equity as of June 30, 2026. Pro forma goodwill estimated at $61.1 million. Transaction expected to be accretive to JMSB's EPS in 2027-2030 but dilutive to tangible book value per share at close.

dilutiongoodwilltangible book valueearnings per share

Risk Factors

  • Shareholder approval may not be obtained
  • Regulatory approvals may be delayed or impose burdensome conditions
  • Integration risks and potential failure to realize expected synergies
  • Market price of JMSB stock may fluctuate, affecting deal value for EFSI shareholders
  • Litigation could delay or prevent the merger

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 15 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4/A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex8-1.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex8-2.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex5-1.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-9.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-10.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-5.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-6.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-8.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex99-7.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: tm2625851d4_ex23-5.htm0001104659-26-115283
Document: 0001104659-26-115283-index-headers.html0001104659-26-115283
Document: 0001104659-26-115283.txt0001104659-26-115283
13 reports for JMSB
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for JMSB — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.80awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+2.50%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.01awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+1.56%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.00awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+1.61%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.87awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+2.19%)
Jul 28, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.58 $22.94▼ −2.71%▼ −7.06%$23.37 (−0.89%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$22.18 $22.79▲ +2.75%▼ −0.51%$23.37 (+5.37%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$22.18 $22.79▲ +2.75%▼ −0.51%$23.37 (+5.37%)
Jun 16, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.30 $23.19▲ +8.87%▲ +7.87%$23.37 (+9.72%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.42awaiting T+60—$23.37 (+9.10%)
Apr 29, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$20.88 $22.34▲ +6.99%▲ +2.88%$23.37 (+11.93%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Oct 13, 2026